Opening Weekend of ’14 offers good action
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES
6th: 41st Busanda, 3yo-F, 1m-70 (P4, P3, DD)
Understand viewing Camille Claudel as a mudlark off the jump up maiden win in LRL slop, but note Tres Abbott added blinkers to the package for that effort which may have been more influential than footing. Happy to take a chance on a 10-1 stranger in this oddball assembly where pace scenario and styles are plenty murky..
Best Value: #4 Camille Claudel 10-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Alpaca Fina 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Flipcup 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Fleet of Gold 6-1 3rd
7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD)
As Nick Tammaro said yesterday, a hodge-podge of allowance & starter types that ends up being a well matched set. Favored Hot Stones (2-1) a giant question mark on stretchout. Endless Chatter (6-1) fits the pattern we’ve been noting on ATR of a horse who returns to the scene off an extended break (10 months) and may be much better now than when she left. Rare chance at a price on Chad Brown barn runner..
Most Likely: #6 What the Frost 5-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Endless Chatter 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Holiday’s Jewel 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Hundred Acre Wood 20-1 2nd
8th: 144th Jerome (G2), 3yo, 1m-70y (DD)
Rich Migliore’s ‘History of the Game’ piece on the storied Jerome: http://www.nyra.com/aqueduct/videos/…me-the-jerome/
Not a lot of speed here and Noble Moon should have every chance to control this from down inside..
Most Likely: #1 Noble Moon 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #7 Classic Giacnroll 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Matuszak 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Scotland 7-2 3rd
9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f
Anchor leg of perilous sequence has a number of mojo options including runners for new outfits (Gabrilicious and Speedy Lee D from Rudy Rod; Merryland Moon back to Midwest TB and adding blinkers; Guyana Princess first off claim for Riccio/Nevin). Question here is pace with Speedy Lee D and Thetrainwasgone confirmed frontrunners and little else certain to be part of the early mix. If one or the other gets loose, they can wire. If someone else gets aggressive and prompts, we’ll get a fair rendering. Very tough end to difficult P4..
Most Likely: #7 Merryland Moon 8-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Matching Skies 20-1 WON ($14.60)
Next Best: #2 Gabrilicious 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Promised Mandate 12-1 9th
<$75 P4 Play:
All A Entries
1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 2 with 1 with 1,7 – $3.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7 with 2 with 1 with 1,7 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 4,6 with 1 with 1,7 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 2 with 7 with 1,7 – $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 2 with 1 with 2,5 – $3.00
A’s with Two B’s
6 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7 with 4,6 with 1 with 1,7 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7 with 2 with 7 with 1,7 – $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7 with 2 with 1 with 2,5 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 4,6 with 7 with 1,7 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 4,6 with 1 with 2,5 – $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 2 with 7 with 2,5 – $3.00
A’s with One C
12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,8 with 2 with 1 with 1,7 – $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 1,3,5,7,8 with 1 with 1,7 – $15.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 2 with 2,3,5,8 with 1,7 – $12.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 2 with 1 with 3,6,10,12 -$6.00
Total: $76.00
GULFSTREAM PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: FL-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)
Best Value: #3 Do Not Enter 8-1: Rivelli clever with FTS; Lures Rosario.. 2nd
Next Best: #7 Dreamingoflawrence 3-1: From creepy, notorious Calabrese barn.. 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Can’t Stop the Kid 5-1: Chased sharp Lynch winner; Now or never.. WON ($8.80)
Super Add: #2 Puntrooskie 6-1: Up to restricted MSW off OK open $50k debut.. 3rd
6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 5f-T (Rainbow P6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #11 Gentleman’s Code 5-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Didn’t Take It 5-1 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #10 Drunken Love 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Law Dog 20-1 4th
7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)
One of the more entertaining betting races of the day. 12-1 Zipso Facto — who’s kept good company, just missed with Davis two back and fits current course profile for rallyers — for me..
Best Value: #7 Zipso Facto 12-1 WON ($12.40)
Next Best: #4 Starship Pegasus 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Sands of Humor 5-2 6th
Super Add: #2 Grenoble 8-1 3rd
8th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)
Keep an eye on Zito’s talented Hurricane Ray who likely will need a start before showing best..
Best Value: #9 Buck Magic 8-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Vinceremos 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Four More 12-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Hurricane Ray 12-1 9th
9th: 15th Marshua’s River (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)
Fun group and no bad ideas with plethora of price options including Catalano’s Poetic Kid (10-1), Clement’s Naples Bay (6-1), Mott’s Floral Romance and Pletcher’s Viva Rafaela (15-1). Big question here is stretch out capability of Silverette (12-1) and how much pressure is applied from any number of candidates. Pace could get hot and set it up for closers or it could be moderate providing stalker types with best chance..
Best Value: #8 Poetic Kid 10-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Angelica Zapata 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Abaco 3-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Floral Romance 8-1 6th
10th: 35th Spectacular Bid, 3yo, 6f (DD)
Whole lot of pace involved here and it seems likely that someone can pick them up late. Enter Stan Gold and C. Zee. Appears poised to capitalize if he can improve off excellent effort breaking maiden versus 13 (!) others. Likely floats higher than 6-1 with Pletcherpalooza and a Ramsey runner involved..
Best Value: #4 C. Zee 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Trail Blaze 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Corfu 5-2 6th
Super Add: #7 Hollywood Talent 4-1 3rd
11th: MCLM/$35k, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T (Super Hi-5)
Keep an eye open for AE’s drawing in..
Most Likely: #5 Principessa Gina 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #7 Siyawe 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Ocean Gal 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Chuckle of the Day 6-1 8th
<$75 P5 Play:
All A Entries
1 $1.00 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 5 – $8.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 9 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 5 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 5 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 1,12 with 2,4 with 5 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 3,8 with 3 with 5 – $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 7 $4.00
A’s with Two B’s
7 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 3 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 5 – $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 9 with 1,12 with 2,4 with 5 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 9 with 3,8 with 3 with 5 – $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 9 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 7 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3 with 1,12 with 2,4 with 5 – $4.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3 with 3,8 with 3 with 5 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 7 – $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 1,12 with 3 with 5 – $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 1,12 with 2,4 with 7 – $4.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 3,8 with 3 with 7 – $2.00
A’s with One C
17 $0.50 pick P5: 2,3 with 9 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 5 – $4.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 8 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 5 – $4.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 4 with 2,4 with 5 – $2.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 3,8 with 7 with 5 – $2.00
21 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 2 – $4.00
Total: $65.00
<$75 P4 Play:
All A Entries
1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,9 with 3,8,12 with 2,4 with 5 – $12.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,8,12 with 2,4 with 5 – $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 1 with 2,4 with 5 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 3,8,12 with 3 with 5 – $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 3,8,12 with 2,4 with 7 – $6.00
A’s with Two B’s
6 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 1 with 2,4 with 5 $1.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,8,12 with 3 with 5 – $1.50
8 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,8,12 with 2,4 with 7 – $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 1 with 3 with 5 – $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 1 with 2,4 with 7 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 3,8,12 with 3 with 7 – $3.00
A’s with One C
12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 3,8,12 with 2,4 with 5 – $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 4,5,6,7 with 2,4 with 5 – $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 3,8,12 with 7 with 5 – $3.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 3,8,12 with 2,4 with 1,2,8 – $18.00
Total: $72.50
SANTA ANITA PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
8th: 67th San Gabriel (G2), 4+, 9f-T (DD)
Interesting cast for this middle distance turf test and came in eager to try Drysdale’s Fire With Fire at a price (10-1). Enthusiasm was tempered overnight by unappealing workout report from Harrington, but does figure to sit advantageous stalking trip up close..
Most Likely: #9 Jeranimo 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #5 Fire With Fire 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Te Rapa 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Arctic North 8-1 3rd