Last G1 at Hollywood looks like a beauty

By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized  |  
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GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Deep lawn dash with about 8 of the 12 within range. No shortage of early zip signed on so it looks like stalking/closing types are the way to lean. Recall that leaving Clement’s Cavetto off early P4 at Spa 8/16 cost me a sweep of the day’s quads and having shipped early to Payson, there’s potential that she makes enough of a forward move here to impact..

Most Likely: #5 Cavetto 5-1
Best Value: #10 Great Red Beauty 20-1
Next Best: #8 Be My Love 8-1
Exotics Use: #6 Perfect Package 6-1

7th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Long Water (Elusive Quality) outside a half to Long River; Firster Blarp (War Front) a half to Newsdad; Oxley/Casse’s Thundergram (Graeme Hall) a full to Hurricane Ike and half to Drums of Thunder; Coolmore’s Palace Gate (Giant’s Causeway), out of De La Rose winner Path of Thunder, a full to precocious MSW Excited; Struggling Browns Gap (Harlington) a half to Roxy Gap..

Most Likely: #7 Thundergram 3-1
Best Value: #6 Hi Speed Chase 6-1
Next Best: #12 Long Water 5-1
Exotics Use: #11 My Storm Trooper 12-1

8th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Camden Street 3-1
Next Best: #7 Myositis Dan 4-1
Best Value: #11 Rope a Dope 8-1
Exotics Use: #9 School On a Hill 6-1

9th: Sugar Swirl (G3), F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Heart Stealer 3-1
Next Best: #5 R Free Roll 2-1
Exotics Use: #1 Crazy About Me 4-1

10th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Target Sighted 3-1
Next Best: #8 Noble Doss 6-1
Best Value: #10 Exeter Road 15-1
Exotics Use: #4 Favorite Ketch 4-1

<$75 P5 Play:

6: 5-6-8-10
7: 6-7-12
8: 3-7
9: 3-5
10: 1-8-10

4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-6-7-11-12
8: 3-7
9: 1-3-5
10: 1-8-10

5x2x3x3 = 90 x .50 = $45

HOLLYWOOD PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

7th: 35th Native Diver (G3), 3+, 9f (P4)

Most Likely: #9 Hear the Ghost 4-1
Best Value: #1 Blueskiesnrainbows 8-1
Next Best: #8 Rousing Sermon 3-1
Exotics Use: #6 Soi Phet 4-1
Super Add: #4 Setsuko 7-2

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Bench Light 10-1
Next Best: #8 Cervaro 7-2
Exotics Use: #2 Spring Up 3-1
Super Add: #5 Power Ped 6-1

9th: 33rd CashCall Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (DD)

Outstanding cast for final edition of this important event at HOL. Will maintain confidence in Tap It Rich as Baffert seeks 7th Futurity title and Tapit rig matures. BC Juvy try was solid all things considered and new bit has him more manageable in the mornings. 9-2 would be very appealing. Shared Belief looks like the real thing but has to make transition to two turns today. Commands respect, as does Hollendorfer’s 2nd runner Tamarando, but 7-2 not acceptable number on Shared Belief in field of 13. Kobe’s Back and Rankhasprivleges are badly drawn but are the next 2 I’m interested in..

Most Likely: #5 TAP IT RICH 9-2
Next Best: #6 Shared Belief 7-2
Best Value: #12 Rankhasprivleges 15-1
Exotics Use: #13 Kobe’s Back 9-2
Super Add: #2 Tamarando 4-1

10th: Cal-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Euroclydon 5-1
Best Value: #2 Top Pegasus 8-1
Next Best: #9 Chilada 6-1
Exotics Use: #3 Im a Giant Star 9-2
Super/Hi-5: #5 Kantina Kowgirl 6-1

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-4-6-8-9
8: 2-5-8-10
9: 5
10: 2-3-5-7-9-11

5x4x1x6 = 120 x .50 = $60

Good luck!
Steve

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