Final runnings of Starlet, Bayakoa at HOL
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
TAMPA BAY DOWNS
POST-SCRATCHES
8th: 29th Inaugural, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)
Didn’t handicap TAM stakes with track exec Peter Berube on ATR Friday, but #5 Callmeoldfashion (4-1) had caught my eye when looking at the card. Ricky Griffith’s Old Fashioned gelding won unveiling stylishly at WO from wide path at demanding 7f trip (Video: http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci…wo-on-11-15-13). Transition to dirt a question mark, but dam Star Operator, winner of $278k in her 29 race career, placed in both the Manatee and Minaret over this strip after success in Toronto. There’s a lot of speed involved in this, so he’ll have to come from off the pace today..
Most Likely: #5 CALLMEOLDFASHION 4-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Cool Cowboy 2-1 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #3 Roman Officer 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Early Entry 7-2 2nd
HOLLYWOOD PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
2nd: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Baffert firsters Chitu ($300k OBS/MAR13 Henny Hughes) and The Admiral (half to Madcap Escapade) face off against experienced Melatonin. Chitu worked impressive :20.3 at sale (Video: http://obssales.com/marcatalog/2013/58.mp4) and has registered series of eye-catching drills for bow while outworking Coolmore stablemate by Giant’s Causeway that likely needs longer. Red N Black Attack debuts for O’Neill and has been plenty zippy in the a.m.
Most Likely: #1 Chitu 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #5 Melatonin 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Red N Black Attack 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 The Admiral 5-1 3rd
4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)
$150k Guaranteed P6..
Most Likely: #1 Warren’s Judy 5-1 4th
Best Value: #11 Katey Pie 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Metaxa 6-1 WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Cassandra Lynne 3-1 7th
5th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)
Maiden curiosity involves slug of turf movers and stretchouts..
Best Value: #3 Big Medicine Man 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Miraglo 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Number Five 2-1 4th
Super Add: #7 I’ll Wrap It Up 5-2 WON ($7.80)
6th: 33rd Hollywood Starlet (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)
Final running of one of my favorite races with a solid set including troika from marred BC Juvenile Fillies cross town. Late-running Rosalind is filly to beat and wide post shouldn’t hurt given style. Untapable was one of those that lost all chance in Cup and has worked 20f since. Streaming and Taste Like Candy look to be the ones to catch in the stretch..
Most Likely: #8 Rosalind 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Streaming 8-1 WON ($23.60)
Next Best: #5 Untapable 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Arethusa 4-1 5th
7th: Cal-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)
Best Value: #6 Quinnette 2nd
Next Best: #5 Our Pure Creation WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #10 Cee’s the Year 3rd
Super Add: #8 SCR
8th: 32nd Bayakoa (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD)
Fiftyshades is fast, versatile and broke maiden over this strip. Earning plaudits for morning efforts and should prove very tough to beat here with anything close to best effort. Spellbound returns for Mandella and fits profile discussed this week on ATR of 3yo having missed large stretch of year and returning as a near-4yo. Shouldn’t be judged solely on basis of spring level as these types can make quantum advance since last seen..
Most Likely: #3 Fiftyshadesofhay 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Spellbound 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Warren’s Veneda 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Curvy Cat 12-1 5th
9th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f (Super Hi-5)
Slippery finale with many having had enough chances. Look for frog with least warts..
Most Likely: #9 Western Seeker 6-1 4th
Best Value: #14 Warren’s Casper 15-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Perfect Magic Man 5-2 13th
Exotics Use: #6 Trando’s Tremor 6-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #4 Arctic Warrior 6-1 6th
$150 P6 Play:
4: 1-8-11
5: 3-4-7-8
6: 5-7-8
7: 6
8: 3
9: 9-14
3x4x3x1x1x2 = 72 x $2 = $144
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 2-5-6-7-8
7: 5-6-10
8: 3-4
9: 1-4-6-9-14
5x3x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75