Holiday Monday carryover at Belmont and a very playable sequence..

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$30k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #8 Ally’s Envy 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Bareeqa 10-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Somerset Sandy 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Punch It 20-1 10th

6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 AUSSIE PRAYER 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Arietta 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 To Be Determined 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Hatta’s Appeal 7-2 3rd

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Hillaryinthehouse 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Archer Queen 20-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Jenny’s Creek 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Rockin Alli 15-1 WON ($37.00)

8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Carrumba 4-5 WON ($2.40)
Next Best: #7 Tahoe Tigress 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Callista 4-1 3rd

9th: 23rd Pebbles, 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Partisan Politics 5-2 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #5 Consumer Credit 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Devine Aida 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Light In Paris 3-1 8th

10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #12 Moon Track 6-1 11TH
Next Best: #2 Priest N the Rabbi 5-1 5TH
Exotics Use: #7 Talladega 7-2 WON ($10.20)
Super Add: #5 Mind Magic 3-1 4TH

P6 Grid:

5: 8 (A), 2-4-6-10 (B), – (C)
6: 2 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-5-6-7 (C)
7: 3-6 (A), 5-7-8-10 (B), 9-12 (C)
8: 2 (A), – (B), 1-6-7 (C)
9: 2-5 (A), – (B), 3-4 (C)
10: 12 (A), 2 (B), 3-5-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x6x1x2x2 = 120 x $2 = $240
Full (As Is): $300
Full (With 9th race #5 Consumer Credit as a B): $188

P4 Grid:

7: 3-6 (A), 5-7-8-10 (B), 9-12 (C)
8: 2 (A), – (B), 1-6-7 (C)
9: 2-5 (A), 3-4 (B), 1-7-8 (C)
10: 2-12 (A), 3-5-7-8 (B), 4-6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x4x6 = 144 x $0.50 = $72
Full: $84

$0.50 Pick-4 (10/2,3,4,5/2/7) Paid $217.25

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Ocean Knight won yesterday and hopefully Union Jackson follows suit today to try and lift the spirits at Stonestreet as much as possible after this morning’s brutally sad fatal injury to Rock Fall. After hearing Steve Asmussen’s voice light up when discussing Union Jackson this week on ATR, will be very surprised if he doesn’t graduate today..

Most Likely: #2 Union Jackson 9-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #7 Blaze’n Prospector 4-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Walker’s Way 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Anois Agus Aris 12-1 5th

6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Bourbon Soul 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Approvethismessage 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Gin Riki 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Tennessee 3-1 WON ($5.80)

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Banner Waving 7-2 8th
Best Value: #10 Carina Mia 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 J La Tache 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Holders Season 9-2 4th

8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Quirky stat on Romans in here for Lavender Chrissie (3-1) as cagey outfit is just 1 for 20 turf/dirt while stretching out (5%), but does have 7 other board hits (8/20) under these conditions (40%)..

Most Likely: #8 Enchantress 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Bella Veloce 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Lavender Chrissie 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Ciaran’s Prize 8-1 6th

9th: 32nd Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD)

Was beaten in NY by Sentiero Italia and too late to board her train now.

Best Value: #4 Her Emmynency 8-1 WON ($40.00)
Next Best: #9 Sentiero Italia 6-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Prize Exhibit 6-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Blond Me 8-1 6th

10th: MCLM/$30k, 3+, 9f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Bird Humor 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1e Calumet ownership entry 7-2 4th/5th
Exotics Use: #5 White Gladiator 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #7 Ain’t Hesitatin 10-1 8th
Hi-5 Play: #3 Busby Alley 20-1 7th

P5 Grid:

6: 1-9 (A), 7-10 (B), 2-4-6 (C)
7: 6 (A), 2-10 (B), 3-5-8 (C)
8: 8 (A), 1 (B), 4-5-6-7-9 (C)
9: 4-9 (A), – (B), 2-3-6-7 (C)
10: 1-10 (A), 5 (B), 3-6-7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

P4 Grid:

7: 6-10 (A), 2-5 (B), 3-8 (C)
8: 8 (A), 1 (B), 4-5-6-7-9 (C)
9: 4-9 (A), 2-3-6-7 (B), 5-8 (C)
10: 1-10 (A), 5 (B), 3-6-7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Ocala Jim 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Wildniteattheopera 15-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Make a Decision 6-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #2 East Bay Lodge 15-1 6th

8th: OC/C, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Reload 3-1 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #1 Fredericksberg 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Take the Stand 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Bombaguia 30-1 8th

9th: 56th Knickerbocker (G3), 3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Messi 5-1 WON ($10.20)
Best Value: #11 Cage Fighter 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Mr Speaker 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Legendary 8-1 4th

$1 Exacta (2-11) Paid $162.00
$1 Trifecta (2-11-9) Paid $1,114.50
$1 Superfecta (2-11-9-8) Paid $7,536.00

10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-T

Most Likely: #11 Ava’s Kitten 3-1 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #4 On Leave 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Reimburse 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Anabela Princess 15-1 7th

P4 Grid:

7: 7 (A), 1-5 (B), 2-6-8 (C)
8: 8 (A), 1-3-4 (B), 2 (C)
9: 2-11 (A), 7-8-9-10 (B), 1-4-6 (C)
10: 11 (A), 4 (B), 1-7-8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick-4 (5,9,12,13,14/6,8,10,11/2/3,11) Paid $68.25

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Aguafria 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Maryanna Star 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Robillard 6-1 WON ($9.00)
Super Add: #7 Rachel Wall 6-1 9th

5th: S/ALW, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Political Justice 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Big Legacy 9-5 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Slan Abhaile 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Lungs 5-1 4th

6th: ALW/N2L, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Midnight On Oconee 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Prairie Chick 3-1 10th
Best Value: #4 Covey Trace 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Banree 5-2 WON ($4.40)

7th: 25th Jessamine (G3), 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD)

Hard not to get behind ATR listeners Del & Martha Pettigrew’s Outsider Art..

Best Value: #14 Outsider Art 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Harmonize 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Theory of Change 6-1 9th
Super Add: #7 Lilly’s Dream 6-1 4th

8th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Gray Sky 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Arch Adversary 12-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Stand Guard 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Irish Colonel 7-2 5th
Hi-5 Play: #5 Cite 7-2 7th

P5 Grid:

4: 5-6 (A), 4-7 (B), 3-9 (C)
5: 5 (A), 6-7 (B), 3-4-8 (C)
6: 1-5 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
7: 14 (A), 4-8 (B), 7-10-12 (C)
8: 4 (A), – (B), 5-7-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72

P4 Grid:

5: 5 (A), 6-7 (B), 3-4-8 (C)
6: 1-5 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
7: 4-14 (A), 8 (B), 7-10-12 (C)
8: 4-7 (A), 5-8-9 (B), 2-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x5 = 180 x .50 = $90

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Malibu Stacy 8-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Conquest Tiz One 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Cinder 10-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Lady Gayle 4-1 10th

8th: 25th Bourbon (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Sallisaw 8-1 13th
Next Best: #9 Camelot Kitten 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Unbridled Daddy 5-1 10th
Super Add: #13 Airoforce 8-1 WON ($12.00)

9th: 60th Spinster (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #9 Frivolous 9-2 4th
Next Best: #3 Untapable 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Got Lucky 7-2 WON ($9.30)
Super Add: #7 Mei Ling 12-1 –

10th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo-F, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Thisoneismine 12-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Miss Blossom 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Pretty Priceless 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Wallflower 7-2 8th
Hi-5 Play: #1 Gadwall 8-1 3rd

P4 Grid:

7: 4-6 (A), 2-5 (B), 3-9-10-11 (C)
8: 2-9 (A), 5-7-8-13 (B), 6-11 (C)
9: 3-9 (A), – (B), 1-4-6-7 (C)
10: 7-9 (A), 10 (B), 1-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

Rough weather day marred Keeneland opener a bit and damp, raw afternoons appear on tap for Lexington and Elmont today for the big slates of Cup preps. Soft turf the order of the day as well..

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: 35th Kelso H. (G2), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Honor Code would seem against a modest projected pace here if he’s going to drop a dozen lengths out as usual when going the one turn mile. At the same time, he exits a very sharp bullet work and may be edgier than we’ve seen. Scenario says he falls short, but with many lining up to beat him, have a feeling he gets up..

Most Likely: #2 Honor Code 3-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Scarly Charly 20-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Red Vine 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 My Lute 12-1 5th

6th: 38th Flower Bowl (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Moved to the Widener, looking to soft-loving Danza Cavallo to make the most of the best footing on the crown at a nice price..

Best Value: #10 Danza Cavallo 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Curvy 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Regardez 8-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Stephanie’s Kitten 9-5 WON ($6.90)

7th: 68th Frizette (G1), 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Nickname 7-2: Advanced 2nd start after finding Rachel’s Valentina in debut.. WON ($12.80)
Next Best: #1 She’s All Ready 3-1: Cleverly handled NY-bred thriving since Spa wins.. 3rd
Best Value: #7 Where’s the D 10-1: Who’s arguing against O’Neill juvy factory? Stretches from 5.5f.. 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Width 5-2: Another looking to convert from 5.5f, but sharp in debut win.. 5th

8th: 144th Champagne (G1), 2yo, 1m, (P3, DD)

East Coast 2yo’s may have been caught flat-footed in the Hopeful, but this looks like a well-matched group even with the garish Ralis performance lauding it over on paper. There are 6 new winners facing the O’Neill invader here, as well as Brown/Klaravich maiden Portfolio Manager, and any of them (2-3-4-6-7-8-9) appear capable with easy to project juvenile improvement..

Most Likely: #4 Sail Ahoy 12-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Sunny Ridge 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Ralis 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Portfolio Manager 12-1 3rd

9th: 41st Hill Prince (G3), 3yo, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Ridiculous assembly. Use as many as you can afford..

Best Value: #3 Winter Springs 20-1 10th
Next Best: #5 Takeover Target 6-1 WON ($12.00)
Exotics Use: #11 Tale of Life 5-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Courtier 8-1 11th

10th: 97th Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

Tonalist has endured a bit of a maddening season but everything seems set to launch him towards Breeders’ Cup as a repeat winner of the JCGC. Make no mistake though, Wicked Strong (assuming no incident drops jock), Coach Inge, Constitution and Effinez are a stronger cast than he faced a year ago and he cannot be allowed to drop out of it though as he did in the Whitney..

Most Likely: #6 Tonalist 6-5 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #2 Coach Inge 5-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Constitution 3-1 6th

P4 Grid:

7: 1-5 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-4-6 (C)
8: 4-8 (A), 2-3-5-9 (B), 1-7 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 6-9-11 (B), 4-7-10 (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), 1-2-3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x5x1 = 120 x $.50 = $60

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/2/5/6) Paid $282.00

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: 35th TCA (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Heykittykittykitty 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Judy the Beauty 6-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Sweet Whiskey 7-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Leigh Court 3-1 8th

7th: 18th First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Crowley’s Law 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Kiss Moon 20-1 9th
Next Best: #11 Tepin 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Sky Treasure 15-1 6th

8th: 102nd Breeders’ Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Like the Champagne, this assembles a group of emergent lads that are tricky to separate. Feels as if there are some good young horses in here with more half legit win candidates (1-4-5-6-7-8-10)..

Best Value: #6 Sticksstatelydude 10-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Brody’s Cause 6-1 WON ($25.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Sheikh of Sheikhs 5-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Rated R Superstar 6-1 3rd

9th: 30th Shadwell Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #4 Grand Arch 8-1 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #5 Dutch Connection 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 The Pizza Man 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Bobby’s Kitten 6-1 9th

P4 Grid:

6: 1-3 (A), – (B), 4-5 (C)
7: 1-2 (A), 11 (B), 5-6-7-9 (C)
8: 5-6 (A), 1-4-7-8 (B), – (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 9-10 (B), 6-12-13 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x6x4 = 144 x $.50 = $72