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$23k C/O entices as Big A returns

Friday, February 15th, 2013

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/S-ALW, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Quirky 3yo conditions and cast assembled is just as idiosyncratic. Looks like there’s no shortage of pace lined up..

SCR: #6 S’maverlous 5-2

Most Likely: #8 Leilani’s Ticket 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Wild Finish 8-1 WON ($10.20)
Next Best: #7 Chapman 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Brother Bob 5-1 4th

6th: NY-MSW, F&M-4+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

3-5 impossible to take on Simplistic who doesn’t feel remotely reliable in this group of suspects. Luvacat makes 2nd start and has the most upside. Golden Cheetah hasn’t proven herself hopeless yet and Louder Than Sound almost has..

Most Likely: #3 Simplistic 3-5 WON ($2.70)
Best Value: #6 Luvacat 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Golden Cheetah 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Louder Than Sound 8-1 3rd

7th: NY-OC/C, 3yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Jerusalem Stone 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Frosty Bay 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Miss Da Point 5-1 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Run a Dubb Dubb 4-1 5th

8th: OC/C, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Centrique 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Coco Ecolo 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Hard Life 4-1 3rd

9th: OC/S-ALW, 3yo-F, 6f (DD)

Tricky set. Not a lot separating the entire group..

Most Likely: #2 Gritty Gal 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Rice to Riches 12-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Sweet Sway 3-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Agualinda 4-1 4th

10th: CLM, 4+, 6f

Be aware that #13 (AE) Christopher’s Joy (4-1) has potential to impact this should he get in..

Most Likely: #5 Talented Whiz 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #13 Christopher’s Joy 4-1 WON ($7.10)
Best Value: #10 Jemaru 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Galaxy Kat 12-1 4th

<$150 P6 Play:

5: 1-7-8
6: 3-6
7: 2-3
8: 2
9: 2-5-6
10: 5-13

3x2x2x1x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-5-7
8: 2-4-5
9: 2-4-5-6
10: 5-10-13

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

Gulfstream sextet continues as the game’s focus

Wednesday, February 13th, 2013

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$2,195,693 Rainbow 6 Jackpot Pool

Most Likely: #13 Pearl de Vere 3-1 (A) 5th
Best Value: #5 Regal Melody 4-1 (B) 6th
Next Best: #1 Colorme Kitten 5-2 (B) WON-DH ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Backstairs Gossip 5-1 (C) 4th

6th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 5f-T/24′ (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Core Inflation 9-5 (A) 7th
Best Value: #5 Big Red Talent 10-1 (B) WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #4 Taylor’s Tough 8-1 (B) 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Big Bentley 12-1 (C) 5th

7th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Saratoga Blitz 6-1 (A) WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #6 Samantha G 5-1 (B) 5th
Best Value: #8 Midnight Scrimmage 15-1 (C) 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Cat Can Do 4-1 (C) 3rd

8th: MSW, 3yo, 5f-T/84′ (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Ten Items or Less 3-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #2 Late SCR
Best Value: #5 Royal Argument 12-1 (C) 8th
Super Add: #6 Doubledown Again 4-1 (C) 5th

9th: CLM, 3yo, 7.5f-T/24′ (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Poco Man 7-2 (A) 4th
Best Value: #5 Straight Town 6-1 (B) 3rd
Next Best: #2 Backseat Memories 5-1 (B) WON ($14.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Spivey 6-1 (C) 2nd
Super Add: #7 Via Marina 4-1 (C) 8th

10th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m (Super Hi-5)

Ugly finale with favored Diamondesque more Cubic Zirconion..

Most Likely: #1 Diamondesque 5-2 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #11 Classy and Serene 8-1 (B) 3rd
Next Best: #2 Bird in the Bush 8-1 (B) 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Blondie Jo 4-1 (C) 6th
Hi-5 Play: #4 Bozique 15-1 (C) WON ($25.00)

<$30 P6 Play:

5: 1-3-13
6: 4-5-9-10
7: 6-9
8: 2/Late SCR-3-5-6
9: 9
10: 1-2-11

3x4x2x4x1x3 = 288 x .10 = $28.80

<$50 P5 Play:

6: 4-5-9-10
7: 6-9
8: 2/Late SCR-3-5-6
9: 9
10: 1-2-11

4x2x4x1x3 = 96 x .50 = $48

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-6-8-9
8: 2/Late SCR-3-5-6
9: 2-5-9
10: 1-2-11

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

SA with $97k C/O as GP Rainbow swells

Sunday, February 10th, 2013

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Flashy Gray 2-1 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #6 Heart Stealer 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Sweet Shirley Mae 8-5 3rd

5th: CLM, 4+, 9f-T/48′ (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Dark Cove 2-1 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #7 Minnie Punt 4-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Political Courage 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Nineinthenine 4-1 2nd

6th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$2,025,390 Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Most Likely: #10 On the Key 7-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Songa 15-1 WON ($37.00)
Next Best: #7 G. T. Tabu 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Abadoy 12-1 8th

7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/108′ (P5, P3, DD)

A group from similar 1/16 heat return and they seem interchangeable. In Haste and Swear Me In make surface switches that seem feasible and are prices. Wide open..

Best Value: #2 In Haste 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 I Know It All 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Swear Me In 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Rhythm Queen 3-1 8th

8th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Ruffalex 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Hippster 8-1 10th
Next Best: #5 Celebrator 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Go Canes Go 5-1 WON ($22.60)

9th: MSW, 4+, 1m-T/48′ (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Present Course 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Al’s Uncle 12-1 7th
Next Best: #2 State Flag 6-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Tiz a Homerun 8-1 4th

10th: 15th Hurricane Bertie (G3), F&M-4+, 6.5f (DD)

SCR #4 Spectacular Sky who won the Manatee at TAM yesterday..

Most Likely: #2 R Holiday Mood 3-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Fantasy of Flight 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Golden Mystery 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Emma’s Encore 5-1 5th

11th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

$14,967 Super Hi-5 C/O

Most Likely: #11 Mae Ruler 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 Si Senora 4-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Trippi Honor 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #5 Missy Miner 8-1 WON ($17.80)
Hi-5 Play: #4 Kristina’s Slew 6-1 4th

<$30 P6 Play:

6: 10
7: 1-2-4-5-8-9
8: 5-7-8-9
9: 2-8-9
10: 2-5-6-9
11: 11

1x6x4x3x4x1 = 288 x .10 = $28.80

<$75 P5 Play:

7: 1-2-8
8: 5-7-8-9
9: 2-8-9
10: 2-5-6-9
11: 11

3x4x2x4x1 = 144 x .50 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 5-7-8
9: 2-8-9
10: 2-5-6-9
11: 5-6-8-11

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (8/2,13,14,15,16/3,4,6/5) Paid $1,013.80

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$97k P6 C/O

Most Likely: #9 Ocean’s of Money 3-1 (A) WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #1 Charm Catcher 5-2 (B) 2nd
Best Value: #7 Joeandbetty’sbaby 10-1 (C) 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Parc Monceau 5-1 (C) 8th

5th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Max Cooper 3-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #3 Bay Rush 5-2 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Muchos Besos 6-1 (C) WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #7 Deal ‘Em 10-1 (C) 5th

6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Super competitive with what seems like a lot of speed signed on. Key to the P6 and tricky start to the late quad..

Most Likely: #1 Guest Star 2-1 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #5 Hawkedon 12-1 (B) 5th
Next Best: #8 Summer Hit 3-1 (B) WON ($6.80)

“C’s”: #6 Kir 4-1 7th; #13 Fordham Road 8-1 8th

7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Roar Baby Roar 5-2 (A) 4th
Best Value: #2 Conkate 5-1 (B) WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #7 Appealing Resume 3-1 (C) 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Granny Calling 9-2 (C) 2nd

8th: 9th Wishing Well-R, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Stake is 3rd downhill event of sequence and mighty contentious..

Best Value: #11 Schiarapelli 6-1 (A) 4th
Next Best: #5 Nechez Dawn 7-2 (A) 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Byrama 9-2 (B) 3rd

“C’s”: #2 Rumor 5-1 7th; #10 Purim’s Dancer 6-1 WON ($8.40)

9th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 7f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Warren’s Flasher 4-1 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #2 Racy Rosa 8-5 (A) WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Tiz Lovely 5-2 (B) 7th
Best Value: #4 Warren’s My Queen 12-1 (C) 3rd
Super Add: #7 My Yammy Heat 8-1 (C) 5th

<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1-9
5: 1
6: 1-5-8
7: 2-3
8: 1-5-11
9: 2-10

2x1x3x2x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-5-8
7: 2-3-4-7
8: 1-5-11
9: 2-4-8-10

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Turf stars, strong Donn anchor big GP Saturday

Saturday, February 9th, 2013

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

John Gordon makes 3yo debut here and may provide some value in amongst the obvious Park City, Declan’s Warrior and Little Distorted.

Most Likely: #4 Park City 3-1 WON ($8.20)
Best Value: #3 John Gordon 8-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Little Distorted 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Declan’s Warrior 4-1 2nd

6th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

This looks like a pretty ordinary bunch, so digging around for some alternatives to the most apparent candidates may be worthwhile. War Dancer (6-1) tries main track for McPeek in 2nd start and faced off versus impressive Jack Milton in turf debut..

Best Value: #7 War Dancer 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Tapulous 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Wabbajack 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Dyker Beach 6-1 6th

7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-T/48′ (P6, P3, DD)

$1,802,707 Jackpot Rainbow 6

Most Likely: #5 Jack Milton 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Play It Loud 4-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Prima Zip 12-1 10th
Exotics Use: #11 Reporting Star 12-1 3rd

<$20 P3 Play:

5: 3-4-9
6: 1-2-3-5-7-9
7: 5

3x6x1 = $18

8th: 30th Gulfstream Park Turf H. (G1), 4+, 9f-T/108′ (P6, P3, DD)

While Animal Kingdom and Point of Entry are the heavyweights here returning from respective runner up efforts in the Breeders’ Cup, be aware that the turf course has gotten hard and fast once again and those trying to close are increasingly compromised. Salto and Unbridled Command will be leading turning for home and depending on the early fractions, may be tough to reel in..

ML NOTE: A misprint has Unbridled Command at 15-1 and Where’s the Baby 4-1. Flip those prices..

Most Likely: #4 Unbridled Command 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Animal Kingdom 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Point of Entry 9-5 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #3 Salto 4-1 4th

9th: 37th Gulfstream Park Sprint Championship (G3), 4+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Not a flashy group necessarily, but certainly well matched with principals from series of recent assorted events re-assembling. Bahamian Squall is the horse to beat and Fort Loudon may be especially sharp turning back from the 9f SunMill Classic. Mike Welsch explained on ATR that Travelin Man has been shopping for an ALW spot but utilizes this opp instead..

Most Likely: #6 Bahamian Squall 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Fort Loudon 4-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Travelin Man 5-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Close It Out 6-1 4th

10th: 68th Suwannee River (G3), F&M-4+, 9f-T/108′ (P3, DD)

Not sure the 8-1 isn’t cut in half by post time, but Abaco a viable player in midst of progressive form. Closers from outside are regularly good when outer railings are used, but have to be concerned that slick strip doesn’t yield to her rallying style..

Most Likely: #4 Hard Not to Like 7-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Abaco 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Channel Lady 5-2 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Inglorious 8-1 3rd

11th: 57th Donn H. (G1) , 4+, 9f (DD)

Even without Fort Larned and Mucho Macho Man, this is a terrific edition of Gulfstream’s seasonal centerpiece for elders. There are distinct waves of styles signed on, so all will have the opportunity to ‘run their race’. Presser-closers feel more likely than those in the front half of the field with Flat Out distinctly the horse to beat..

Most Likely: #2 Flat Out 3-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Bourbon Courage 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Csaba 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Pool Play 10-1 6th

12th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-T/48′ (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Gentleman’s Honor 12-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Kid Lightening 5-1 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Handsome Tiger 6-1 12th
Super Add: #9 Harrythenavigator 8-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #12 Leader Avenue 10-1 3rd

<$30 P6 Play:

7: 4-5
8: 2-3-4-6
9: 2-5-6
10: 4-5-8
11: 1-2
12: 1-2

2x4x3x3x2x2 = 288 x .10 = $28.80

<$75 P5 Play:

8: 2-3-4-6
9: 2-5-6
10: 1-3-4-5-6-8
11: 2
12: 1-2

4x3x6x1x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 5 (2-5-5-4-2/8/14/15/16) (4 correct) $18.60

<$75 P4 Play:

9: 2-5-6
10: 1-3-4-5-6-8
11: 1-2
12: 1-2-6-9

3x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Tricky GP sequences ahead of Donn Day

Friday, February 8th, 2013

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/108′ (P6, P3, DD)

Murderous start to Rainbow 6 with non-descript set. Feels like more than half the field (1-2-3-8-10-11-12) required to assure safe passage through first leg..

Most Likely: #10 Merilore 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #12 Love to Score 4-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #2 Expropriate 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Time On My Hands 6-1 2nd

6th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Gold Vegas 2-1 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #9 Treasures Image 20-1 9th
Next Best: #11 Mr. J G 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Gold Bitten Tiger 6-1 2nd

7th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-T/48′ (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Blues and Silvers 9-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #6 Sansannah 5-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Michelle’s Trip 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Playing for Fun 8-1 7th

8th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Canaima 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Odalys Halo 8-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Blue Grass Music 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #11 Pop’s Gem 10-1 9th

9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/108′ (DD)

Best Value: #4 Lady’s Lunar Luck 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Debase the Dollar 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #13 Kibosh 3-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Transgression 12-1 2nd

10th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-T/48′ (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 Knock Rock 4-1 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #11 Saturnus 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Majestic Man 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Tizawonderfullife 8-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #1 Back in Florida 6-1 12th

<$30 P6 Play:

5: 1-2-10-12
6: 3-5-9-11
7: 2-6
8: 1
9: 4-8-13
10: 2-11-12

4x4x2x1x3x3 = 288 x .10 = $28.80

<$75 P5 Play:

6: 3-4-5-9-11
7: 2-6
8: 1
9: 4-8-13
10: 1-2-7-11-12

5x2x1x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-6
8: 1-6-10
9: 4-8-13
10: 1-2-7-11-12

3x3x3x5 = 135 x .50 = $67.50