GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

May need more than these 4 to get through 2nd leg of P6 and opener of P5..

Most Likely: #1 Burning Mandate 5-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #6 Starship Valor 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Morality 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 No Act 6-1 2nd

7th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 5f-OFF TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 D’princess WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #3 Kaleidoscope 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 It’s Saturday Nite 3rd

8th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Typical group for $6,250, so you have to deal with spotty form decisions..

Best Value: #3 Sweet Bernie 6-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Longer Terms Doug 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Ya Ya’s Rules 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Sailing Clear 3-1 WON ($11.60)

9th: OC/C, 3yo, 8.5f-OFF TURF (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Pontus 2nd
Best Value: #1 Make Out Man 7th
Next Best: #7 Leveraged Loan WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Gold Mate 4th

10th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-OFF TURF (Super Hi-5)

$15k Hi-5 C/O..

Most Likely: #11 Le Grand Fromage 3rd
Next Best: #10 Expressively 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Sabouli 2nd
Super Add: #3 Starship Elusive WON ($9.00)

<$50 P5 Play:

6: 1-5-6-7-9-10
7: 3-4-5
8: 2-3-9-10
9: 6
10: 11

6x3x4x1x1 = 72 x .50 = $36

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-4-5
8: 2-3-9-10
9: 1-6-7
10: 3-6-10-11

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (5/10/7/3) Paid $361.25

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Odd feel to this group with Ward side of entry Fogonazo SCR exiting a fast debut and Wilkes Exchange Rate colt Ruble, from Mrs. Whitham (Fort Larned), back for a 4th try at diploma. Firsters worth noting include Mott’s Wygod homebred Distribution, a bay by Unbridled’s Song out of wonderful Champion filly Sweet Catomine. Though Mott has been stunning with his early runners of late, Sweet Catomine’s progeny have been repeatedly unable to make the track, let alone win. Her 2006 A.P. Indy filly Sweet Thoughts was 0/5 ($19k) and her next 2 products (another A.P. Indy and a full brother to Distribution), never ran. Kimmel and Rich Migliore’s Summit Thoroughbreds’ send Lead Singer, another Unbridled’s Song. Frozen Four exits the Gombey Dancer race that Fogonazo comes from and while he could be better today, it’s more than a sidebar that Castellano jumps off him in favor of Kenneally’s Slan Abhaile who is owned by savvy Ocala pinhooker Eddie Woods..

Best Value: #3 Slan Abhaile 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Ruble 9-5 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Distribution 6-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Lead Singer 6-1 4th

6th: FL-MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Live Oak/Clement FTS Victorious Won (More Than Ready) is a half to Za Approval (Ghostzapper) who is outposted in the Canadian Turf later. Both are recent products of Mrs. Weber’s fountainhead Win Approval who began her broodmare career dropping 14x stake winner Revved Up and BC Turf hero Miesque’s Approval back to back. Revved Up himself was a son of Live Oak’s own foundation sire Sultry Song. Victorious Won may be more suited long term for the turf, but the fact that Clement starts him on the main is an endorsement for his aptitude..

Most Likely: #7 Victorious Won 3-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Tap It Easy 4-1 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Dreamlicious 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Burning Truth 6-1 4th

7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-T/0′ (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Bold Challenger 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Crop Report 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Black Onyx 15-1 WON ($21.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Tesseron 5-2 4th

8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-T/60′ (P5, P3, DD)

Feels like a fun spot to use as many prices as you can. If the Rainbow 6 jackpot was still in play today, the ‘all’ would be needed to assure safe passage..

Best Value: #9 Dominant Jeannes 10-1 WON ($16.80)
Next Best: #5 Which Market 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Achilles 7-2 8th
Super Add: #1 No Play 15-1 10th

9th: 28th Davona Dale (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Live Lively may be pretty special..

Most Likely: #4 Live Lively 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #1 Private Ensign 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Dreaming of Julia 4-5 2nd

10th: 49th Canadian Turf (G3), 4+, 1m-T/0′ (P3, DD)

Data Link the classy horse to beat and out to avenge only beat on this strip in last year’s edition of this race..

Most Likely: #4 Data Link 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #3 Howe Great 4-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Scatman 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Beau Choix 6-1 3rd

11th: 69th Fountain of Youth (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Wagering concept here comes down on how short a price Violence is and if you accept it. The more I’ve thought about it, the more I’m inclined to try and beat him. Speak Logistics feels like the price to work with having the most accomplished resume and having lured Rosario away from Orb. Majestic Hussar has opportunity to wing it on the front end but may get plenty of company. He is a half to Tiz Sardonic Joe and Joe’s Blazing Aaron (Canadian Turf) and the stretchout should not be an issue. Mike Welsch said to expect Casse to SCR Sky Captain and it appears that Falling Sky is running (Late SCR)..

Best Value: #8 Speak Logistics 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Majestic Hussar 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Violence 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #1 Orb 12-1 WON ($12.80)

12th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T/60′ (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Sevenoaks 10-1 12th
Next Best: #4 Market Outlook 4-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Parnelli 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Forever Thing 7-2 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #7 Summer Shiner 6-1 9th

<$75 P5 Play:

8: 5-9-11
9: 4
10: 3-4-8
11: 1-3-4-8
12: 1-4-5-9

3x1x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 5 (9/4/4,11/1/3) Paid $52.85 (4OF5) x 4 = $212.40

<$75 P4 Play:

9: 3-4
10: 3-4-8
11: 1-3-4-8
12: 1-4-5-6-7-9

2x3x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

FAIR GROUNDS

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-7
9: 3-5-7-9
10: 1-2-5-6-9-10
11: 1-5-8

2x4x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: Cal-MSW, 4+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$113,777 P6 C/O starts here..

Feels like race goes through Puype with FTS L’Dor Vador and First Turf Kilat. Think you only use favored Troy Story on back-up tix..

Most Likely: #8 Kilat 3-1 (A) WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #5 L’Dor Vador 9-2 (A) 8th
Next Best: #7 Celebrity Status (B) 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Empty Headed 9-2 (B) 2nd
Super Add: #9 Troy Story 5-2 (C) 4th

4th: Cal-MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Tribal Spy 2-1 (A) 5th
Next Best: #3 Bikini Bottom 4-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Puttybadshark 4-1 (C) 4th
Super Add: #7 Rockin Cowgirl 9-2 (C) 3rd

5th: OC/N1X, 4+, 10f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Where did this come from? Terrific race and not a lot separating the top contenders. All in the hands of the riders, but Saint Loup receiving raves for return to action and trip was his thing abroad. Not a bad option for your single..

Most Likely: #5 Saint Loup 3-1 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #6 Bright Thought 5-2 (B) WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #8 Te Rapa 8-1 (C) 7th
Exotics Use: #1 McAllister Boys 4-1 (C) 5th

6th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Royal Tiger 2-1 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #1 Spacecoast 3-1 (B) 4th
Best Value: #3 Warren’s Gussie 4-1 (C) 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Peppy Bolly 6-1 (X) 2nd

7th: S/ALW, 3yo, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Square Dancer 3-1 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #5 I Don’t Care Who 7-2 (A) 5th
Best Value: #1 Aerial Artist 10-1 (B) 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Dancin Upside Down 4-1 (B) 7th
Super Add: #3 Collation 12-1 (C) WON ($60.00)

8th: MDN CLM, 4+, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Banged His Eye 4-1 (A) WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #10 Karaiskakis 12-1 (A) –
Next Best: #6 Unmarked Bills 9-2 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Three Buttons Down 5-1 (B)

“C’s”: #1 Mayan Eyes 8-1; #9 Ho Chooch 5-1

<$125 P6 Play:

3: 3-5-7-8
4: 3-6
5: 5
6: 5
7: 4-5
8: 6-7-10-11

4x2x1x1x2x4 = 64 x $2 = $128

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 5-6
6: 1-5
7: 1-2-3-4-5
8: 1-6-7-9-10-11

2x2x5x6 = 120 x .50 = $60

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: OC/N2X, 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: 2 Tiz Yankee 9-5 4th
Best Value: #5 Rightfully So 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Hierro 2-1 WON ($4.80)

4th: S/ALW, 4+, 1m-T/84′ (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Gaelico 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Departures 20-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Let’s Call a Truce 5-1 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Hurry Up Alan 8-1 2nd

5th: CLM/N3L, F&M-4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$2,965,689 Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Best Value: #5 Scaladora 6-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Bobby Jo 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Negrita Tata 4-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Pop Pom Power 15-1 3rd

6th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/24′ (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Indygo Fashion 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 My Curlina 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Carnival Queen 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Faerie Queene 8-1 2nd

7th: CLM, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #13 Royal Premier 10-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Sunrise Ridge 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 R Skinnys Chick 12-1 10th
Super Add: #4 Blackstone 6-1 6th

8th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 8.5f-T/84′ (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 SKY MASTERSON 8-1 WON ($20.00)
Best Value: #2 Roars More 12-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Daddy Likes That 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Jive On 10-1 7th

9th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Ciao Bella 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #3 Centring 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Lexington Place 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Tale of Peace 20-1 8th

10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7.5f-T/24′ (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Pack Leader 6-1 4th
Best Value: #12 Barzini 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Tale of the Dance 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #14 Wise Devil 12-1 7th
Super/Hi-5: #4 Macho Spaces 8-1 3rd

Was nice to get back to Aqueduct Friday and though I made a decent run at the P6, ignoring Royal Lahaina’s potential in the 6 horse 8th was a death knell for overall success on the day. Looking back at the Riccio mare going first time for Rodriguez, she was every bit as eligible for the win as Hard Life (P6/P4 use) or Coco Ecolo (P4 use). Parisella Centrique was pretty disappointing as the favorite, having no answer for the winner when confronted at the top of the stretch. The P6 paid a robust $13k and Royal Lahaina really boosted the P4 which returned $1,203. Hope everyone did OK.

Training was cancelled at Gulfstream today due to the sloppy conditions. Rain is exiting the area but it is hard to know what we’ll have for conditions during the afternoon. Turf stakes will almost certainly go, but the 5th, 7th and 11th may be moved. We’ll see how it shapes up and I will do my best to keep you informed..

GULFSTREAM TURF: 7th, 8th, 10th are ON; 5th, 11th are OFF the turf..

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

More one to watch than a betting affair with Juddmonte-Mott Emollient making soph bow. Will need to come back running as Pletcher-Bolton A.P. Indy miss Majestic River debutted well and figures even better 2-turning…

Most Likely: #3 Emollient 4-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #4 Majestic River 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Miss Squeal 5-1 5th

4th: MSW, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Abraham 2-1 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #1 Successful Brothers 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Trade Rumor 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 The Candidate 7-2 2nd

5th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Unitarian 4th
Next Best: #6 Rakete 3rd
Exotics Use: #13 Conversationalist 5th

6th: CLM/N1Y, 4+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$2,605,671 Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Most Likely: #2 Flyin Trey 3-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Cunaguaro 5-2 9th
Best Value: #7 Reflected Cat 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Chiseled Light 5-1 2nd

7th: OC/N3X, 4+, 1m-T/84′ (P5, P3, DD)

This event could easily have had a name slapped on to it as an overnight stake. Super fun set to bet..

Best Value: #8 Bad Debt 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Monument Hill 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Quick Wit 10-1 9th
Super Add: #11 Abilio 20-1 6th

8th: 27th The Very One (G3), F&M-4+, 11d-T/24′ (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Starformer 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #6 Angegreen 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Kadaya 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Janicellaine 8-1 7th

9th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Sure to be overbet Capo Bastone makes Pletcher camp debut here and unless his style has been revamped, may find himself in awkward position trying to close on surface unkind to that tactic. I’ll cast my lot with sneaky looking Tony Dutrow stretchout Edge of Reality (8-1)..

Best Value: #3 Edge of Reality 8-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Sky Commander 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Capo Bastone 8-5 WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #2 Duke of the City 4-1 4th

10th: 20th Mac Diarmida (F2), 11f-T/24′ (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Lucky Chappy 5-1 7th
Best Value: #6 Nikki’s Sandcastle 8-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Amira’s Prince 4-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Ioya Bigtime 6-1 3rd

11th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 In the Beat 5th
Next Best: #5 Notimetokill 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Awesome Attack 4th
Super Add: #9 Fact 3rd

<$60 P6 Play:

6: 1-2-7-8
7: 4-7-8-11
8: 1
9: 2-3-4-5-6-7
10: 3-6-9
11: 5-8

4x4x1x6x3x2 = 576 x .10 = $57.60

<$75 P5 Play:

7: 4-7-8-11
8: 1
9: 2-3-4-5-6-7
10: 3-6-9
11: 5-8

4x1x6x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-6-8
9: 2-3-4-5-6-7
10: 3-6-8-9
11: 5-8

3x6x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: Santa Maria (G2), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Book Review 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Lady of Fifty 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Snow Fall 9-5 4th

5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Marty Jones has Mrs. Ziebarth’s homebred Tiznow filly My Sweet Addiction debuting here. She dropped from the owner’s terrific G1W Healthy Addiction..

Most Likely: #8 Betises de Cambrai 3-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Midnight Lucky 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Swimmin Insunshine 3-1 8th
Super Add: #5 My Sweet Addiction 4-1 2nd

6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Miss Well Molded 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #11 Black Tunic 15-1 WON ($52.80)
Next Best: #8 Miss Pippa 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Double Ante 8-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (11-6) Paid $180.40
$1 Trifecta (11-6-2) Paid $1,335.40
$1 Superfecta (11-6-2-8) Paid $7,300.30

7th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Carla Gaines bows Mr. Williamson’s Cool Roger (Spring at Last) out of Leo O’Brien’s sublime NY-bred Irish Linnet who was a hard-hitting multiple graded stakes winner amassing 19 tallies in 62 career starts and earnings of $1.2MM..

Most Likely: #8 Del Mar Sunset 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Caviar Dreams 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Okaad 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Mistaken Identity 6-1 9th

8th: Sweet Life, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Doinghardtimeagain 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Jubliant Girl 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Heir Kitty 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Escape Act 6-1 4th

9th: S/ALW, 3yo-F, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Lady Katfish 9-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #7 Jesse’s Giacomo 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Cavalla 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Exclusive Story 5-1 9th

10th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Fun betting race..

Most Likely: #11 Indygo F M A 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Exchange Student 7-2 8th
Best Value: #6 Miss Judged 20-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Lord Kitra 6-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #8 Hard Buns 4-1 4th

<$75 P6 Play:

5: 1-8
6: 2
7: 7-8
8: 2-8-9
9: 5
10: 2-6-11

2x1x2x3x1x3 = 36 x $2 = $72

<$25 P4 Play:

7: 7-8
8: 2-8-9
9: 5
10: 1-2-3-6-8-9-10-11

2x3x1x8 = 48 x .50 = $24