Archive for the 'Uncategorized' Category

Holiday leaves residual carryovers at Santa Anita

Thursday, January 23rd, 2014

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3)

Dance Star, never off the board on this course, a likely winner on front end if unopposed; Zimmer, fit for Shirreffs off the break, a major player if the downhill trip is to his liking; Hotradamus, Royal F J & A Toast to You all with chance..

Most Likely: #5 He’s a Dance Star 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Zimmer 4-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #7 Hotradamus 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 A Toast to You 5-2 4th

4th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

New Order obvious horse to beat but firster Gutsy Ruler has :47.2 gate spin that catches the eye to go along with string of 5f drills. W. Giles is by early development sire Swiss Yodeler and from win early Harrington barn, but he’s saddled with 11/0-0-0 Alberto Delgado. Career 0/9 Exponentially SCR’D, usually the type you let beat you, is a ‘C’ if you can afford him..

Most Likely: #5 New Order 5-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Gutsy Ruler 4-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #3 W. Giles 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 SCR

5th: Cal-MSW, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3)

Intriguing cast here with 5 runners stretching out (1-3-4-7-8) and 4 trying lawn for first time (1-6-8-9). Of the new grass types, Awesome Prospect from Len Powell is a major jump up candidate bred top and bottom for the surface. Breeder Barbara Kelly’s ‘private’ sire Fullbridled has just 19 progeny, but they win (16%) and Powell trained him to a 6/2-2-1 career on turf including a photo loss in the ’05 Dallas Turf Cup at Lone Star. Dam Most Awesome went winless in 7 tries for Niall O’Callaghan but her best races came on grass and she is a sister of turf winner (dirt stake-placed) Lauren C. Upset special. All the stretchout players assure this of having a brisk pace and new gelding Public Interest should be the chief beneficiary. As a sidebar and proviso here, I need to acknowledge that between my top picks, respective jocks Julien Couton and Jose Valdivia are a combined 0/31. Skipping to 4th tab We Have Lift Off, pilot Aaron Gryder adds another 0/19..

Best Value: #6 Awesome Prospect 12-1 WON ($29.00)
Next Best: #9 Public Interest 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Stake Hunter 6-1 6th
Super Add: #1 We Have Lift Off 8-1 10th

6th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Red Sharp Humor 5-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Majestic Moment 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Warren’s Joe T. 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Only the Gold 9-2 WON ($15.00)
Super Add: #3 Brown Boss 7-2 6th

7th: Cal-OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD)

Taken in October for $32k, Miss Well Molded cleared this condition in December ’12 and with a win and claim away would earn $60k for O’Neill and some of his regular clients. Shouldn’t lose here..

Most Likely: #4 Miss Well Molded 9-5 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #7 Lil Swiss Echo 6-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Tanquerray 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Warren’s Rosebud 6-1 4th

8th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo, 1m (Super Hi-5)

$39k Hi-5 C/O here..

Most Likely: #3 Runaway Que 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #5 Bluegrass Fox Trot 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 Run for Pleasure 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Thunders Echo 10-1 5th
Super Add: # #8 Sir Macho 4-1 2nd

< $50 Hi-5 Play: 3 with 5 with 1-9 with 1-2-4-8-9 with All (1x1x2x4x5 = $40)

<$150 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 6,9 with 4 with 4 with 3 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 4,7 with 5 with 6,9 with 4 with 4 with 3 – $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2 with 6,9 with 4 with 4 with 3 – $4.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 6,9 with 7 with 4 with 3 – $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 6,9 with 4 with 7 with 3 – $4.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 6,9 with 4 with 4 with 5 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

7 $2.00 pick P6: 4,7 with 2 with 6,9 with 4 with 4 with 3 – $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (4/2/6/8/4/3) Paid $544.20 (5OF6)
8 $2.00 pick P6: 4,7 with 5 with 6,9 with 7 with 4 with 3 – $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 4,7 with 5 with 6,9 with 4 with 7 with 3 – $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 4,7 with 5 with 6,9 with 4 with 4 with 5 – $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2 with 6,9 with 7 with 4 with 3 – $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2 with 6,9 with 4 with 7 with 3 – $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2 with 6,9 with 4 with 4 with 5 – $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 6,9 with 7 with 7 with 3 – $4.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 6,9 with 7 with 4 with 5 – $4.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 6,9 with 4 with 7 with 5 – $4.00

A’s with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 2,6 with 5 with 6,9 with 4 with 4 with 3 – $8.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 1,3,7 with 6,9 with 4 with 4 with 3 – $12.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 1,3,8,10 with 4 with 4 with 3 – $8.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 6,9 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 – $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 6,9 with 4 with 5,6 with 3 – $8.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 6,9 with 4 with 4 with 4,8,9 – $12.00

Total: $140.00

<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P4: 6,9 with 4,7 with 4 with 3 – $8.00

A’s with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 1,3 with 4,7 with 4 with 3 – $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 6,9 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 – $4.00 $1 Pick 4 (6/8/4/3) Paid $1,488.20
4 $1.00 pick P4: 6,9 with 4,7 with 4 with 5 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $1.00 pick P4: 1,3 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 – $4.00
6 $1.00 pick P4: 1,3 with 4,7 with 4 with 5 – $4.00
7 $1.00 pick P4: 6,9 with 2,8 with 4 with 5 – $4.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 4,7 with 4 with 3 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 6,9 with 3,6,9 with 4 with 3 – $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 6,9 with 4,7 with 5,6,7 with 3 – $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 6,9 with 4,7 with 4 with 9 – $2.00

Total: $43.00

NY, Cali carryovers enhance Holiday action

Monday, January 20th, 2014

Came away from Saturday feeling like an opportunity was missed as hits at Aqueduct ($96) and Santa Anita ($142) and puny GP conso ($10) fell $35 short of squaring the total investments on multis. Having $19.20 Star Channel and $37.40 Charlie A as “C’s” on the Gulfstream P5 was two too many, as one needed to be an “A” or both “B’s” to catch the $1,323 P5 and/or $378 P4 prizes. Hope everyone did well. MLK Holiday Monday provides some terrific racing and carryovers at both Aqueduct (Jimmy Winkfield) and Santa Anita (San Pedro). The Smarty Jones anchors the Oaklawn card.

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 4+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

No surprises here as the favorites stand out. Distorted Dream (6-1) offers a little value and will be in front early, but note Frame adds blinkers for the stretchout and could prompt or duel..

Most Likely: #5 King of Broadway 8-5 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #1 Winter Games 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Frame 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Distorted Dream 6-1 5th

5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3, DD)

Esler barn going very well but Taylor Jagger appears a vulnerable 5-2 favorite in a well matched field. Levine sends Andy Berg’s $8k Chicago discovery Silver Crush whose recent races more than good enough for this. Mess in a Dress returns to claiming ranks and her races for $20-25k fit well. Could get loose under bug girl Rice who has been holding her own. Note also Araya’s 2nd runner, C C’s Pride, owns win at PEN 10/18 that would impact here. Tough spot in challenging P6..

Most Likely: #4 Silver Crush 3-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Mess in a Dress 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Seven Dreams 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Coast of Sangria 6-1 2nd

6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Another hotbed of possibilities with slightly shaky fave in last out (96 hours ago) MDN-breaker Lunar Surge. Belle Gallatney goes first off the claim by Rodriguez..

Most Likely: #5 Belle Gallantey 4-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #2 Sally’s Dream 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Lunar Surge 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Kara’s Match Point 8-1 3rd

7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Dawly 7-2 WON ($9.70)
Best Value: #5 Irsaal 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Sliver and Onions 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Two Is to Many 4-1 8th

8th: 30th Jimmy Winkfield, 3yo, 6f (DD)

Fun edition of this MLK Day standard honoring the remarkable Winkfield. If you’ve not read ‘Wink’ by the equally fascinating Ed Hotaling, (who passed away last year), order it today: http://www.amazon.com/Wink-Incredibl…0223457&sr=1-2

Most Likely: #6 Hot Heir Skier 5-2 WON ($7.50)
Next Best: #3 Oliver Zip 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Cavu 5-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Charleymillionaire 5-1 3rd

9th: MCLM/$16k, 3yo, 6f

Most Likely: #4 Shylock 2-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Gabriel’s Flame 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Cuckoo House 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Television Too 8-1 4th

<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 – $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 – $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 – $2.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 – $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 4 – $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 7 -$4.00

A’s with Two B’s

8 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 – $16.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 – $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 – $16.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 4 – $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 7 – $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 – $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 -$16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 4 – $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 7 – $8.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 – $4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 3 with 4 – $2.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 7 – $2.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 3 with 4 – $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 7 – $8.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 7 – $4.00

A’s with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 6 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 – $4.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 1,8 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 – $8.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 3 with 1 with 6 with 4 – $2.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 5 with 4 – $4.00
27 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 8 – $4.00

Total: $176.00

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 4 – $6.00

A’s with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 4 – $12.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 4,5 with 4 – $6.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 7 – $6.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,2,5 with 4,5 with 4 – $6.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 7 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 4,5 with 7 – $3.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 4 – $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6,7 with 3,6 with 4 – $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 1 with 4 – $1.50
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 8 – $3.00

Total: $58.50

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Bury Pacer 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Big Medicine Man 5-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Cronut 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 On Draft 8-1 7th

5th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P3)

Best Value: #2 Half Dome Dude 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Sammy’s a Runnin’ 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Senator Bob 7-2 5th
Super Add: #9 Dunmore East 6-1 WON ($11.60)

6th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

4-11 are the likelies, 1-2-12 the interesting prices..

Most Likely: #11 Dixieland Blues 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Insideondoutside 7-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Relentless Heat 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Distort This 8-1 7th

7th: Cal-MSW, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Yana 3-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Capers N Wine 7-2 10th
Best Value: #5 More Complexity 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #14 Warrenspoweroflove 6-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Wonderful Lie 12-1 WON ($36.40)

8th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Pulpit’s Express 7-2 8th
Best Value: #5 Candy’s Sunrise 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Mr. Ornery 8-1 WON ($15.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Pulla Train 6-1 12th

9th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo-F, 7f (Super Hi-5)

Ugly end to the sequences..

Most Likely: #7 Yesterday Sings 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Perched 9-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Mean Emma Jean 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Katy’s Plum 7-2 6th
Super Add: #12 Singinthelast 4-1 7th

<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 – $2.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 7 with 7 – $4.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 7 with 7 – $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 4,5 with 7 – $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 8 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

7 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 7 with 7 – $2.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 7 with 7 – $4.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 4,5 with 7 – $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 8 – $2.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 5,11 with 7 with 7 – $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 4,5 with 7 – $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 7 with 8 – $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 4,5 with 7 – $16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 7 with 8 – $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 4,5 with 8 – $8.00

A’s with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 7,9 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 -$4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 1,3,9 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 – $12.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 1,2,12 with 3 with 7 with 7 – $12.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 9,14 with 7 with 7 – $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 13 with 7 – $4.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 2,9,12 – $12.00

Total: $146.00

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 5,7 with 7,8 – $12.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3 with 5,7 with 7,8 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 5,11 with 5,7 with 7,8 – $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 4 with 7,8 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 5,7 with 2,9 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 5,11 with 5,7 with 7,8 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3 with 4 with 7,8 – $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3 with 5,7 with 2,9 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 5,11 with 4 with 7,8 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 5,11 with 5,7 with 2,9 – $8.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 4 with 2,9 – $2.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6,12 with 3 with 5,7 with 7,8 – $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 9,14 with 5,7 with 7,8 – $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 9,11,12 with 7,8 – $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 5,7 with 6,12 – $4.00

Total: $73.00

Eclectic action, GP P5 C/O highlight Saturday

Saturday, January 18th, 2014

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: NY-MSW, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Wide open start to P4 with un-raced and lightly raced state bred gals. Official (Officer) comes from a zippy, win-early family and if McMahon is getting horses now from Dennis Narlinger, you can be sure he’ll have them ready; Happy Recap, half to nice, ill-fated Meese Rocks, showed speed in debut; Kimmel not a ‘first out’ trainer, but Marketable Miss popped a 5f bullet gate work 12/27 that is enough of a red flag for prominent inclusion..

Best Value: #2Official 10-1 7th
Next Best: #11 Happy Recap 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Marketable Miss 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Saratoga Shoes 3-1 WON ($7.20)

7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

SCR NOTE: Race gets overwhelmed with more than half of the field coming out..

Most Likely: #3 Tenango WON ($6.30)
Next Best: #1 B Shanny 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Luckysdream 2nd

8th: 95th Evening Attire, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Saratoga Snacks a SCR to run Sunday, but that only eliminates one of the possibilities. KMc/Magnuson rolling and Long River should save ground for stalk and go voyage. Pletcher puts hood back on Percussion and note how much better he was with it. Cease obviously a player off big effort in last, but regression makes him just one of those that can win. ‘Other’ Jacobson Don Dulce has been rock steady for every barn that has had him..

Most Likely: #1 Long River 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #2 Percussion 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Cease 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Don Dulce 8-1 5th

9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-70y

Best Value: #1 Another Page 4-1 9th
Next Best: #2 My Sparky 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Starship Elusive 3-1 WON ($7.90)
Super Add: #7 Twillerbee 8-1 2nd

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 2 with 3 with 1,2 with 1,2 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8,10,11 with 3 with 1,2 with 1,2 – $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,10 with 1,2 with 1,2 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 3 with 5,7 with 1,2 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 3 with 1,2 with 6 – $1.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8,10,11 with 1,10 with 1,2 with 1,2 – $16.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8,10,11 with 3 with 5,7 with 1,2 – $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8,10,11 with 3 with 1,2 with 6 – $4.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (8/3/1/6) Paid $96.50
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,10 with 5,7 with 1,2 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,10 with 1,2 with 6 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 3 with 5,7 with 6 – $1.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 3 with 1,2 with 1,2 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 8 with 1,2 with 1,2 – $2.00

Total: $60.00

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: 4th FL SunMill F&M Sprint-R, F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

$88k P5 C/O starts here..

Sweet N Discreet SCR’D & My Pal Chrisy cross-entered in Distaff and either/both could have a say cutting back with Ullapool, R Free Roll, Ladyfromhavana & Classic Point vying/pressing up front..

Most Likely: #4 Ullapool 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #3 My Pal Chrisy 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 R Free Roll 5-2 4th

8th: 4th FL SunMill Turf-R, 4+, 9f-T/60′ (P4, P3, DD)

Excellent group with the West Coast invaders adding intrigue. Bad Debt just never runs a bad race and can sit behind speeds like Racing Aptitude and Tune Me In..

Most Likely: #7 Bad Debt 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Blameshifter 10-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Old Time Hockey 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Tune Me In 3-1 10th
Super Add: #4 Hobbs 20-1 7th

9th: 4th FL SunMill Sprint-R, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Fort Loudon finally off rail after three straight inside and should get opportunity to stalk and pounce on potentially dueling Ribo Bobo and Star Harbour..

Best Value: #5 Fort Loudon 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Ribo Bobo 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Star Harbour 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Black Diamond Cat 15-1 6th

10th: 4th FL SunMill Classic-R, 4+, 9f (DD)

Would have preferred to see Mucho Macho Man in the Donn H., but it’s great that the 6yo is back for another season..

Most Likely: #4 Mucho Macho Man 2-5 WON ($2.20)
Next Best: #5 Bernie the Maestro 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Gourmet Dinner 6-1 5th

11th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/0′ (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Blush Again 12-1 9th
Best Value: #2 Ready Player One 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Miss Lech 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Easton Arch 5-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #7 Gauge 12-1 6th

<$90 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 7 with 3,5 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $3.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 7 with 3,5 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $6.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 3,4,10 with 3,5 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $9.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 7 with 4,7 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 7 with 3,5 with 4 with 7,9 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 3,4,10 with 3,5 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $18.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 7 with 4,7 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 7 with 3,5 with 4 with 7,9 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 3,4,10 with 4,7 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $9.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 3,4,10 with 3,5 with 4 with 7,9 – $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 7 with 4,7 with 4 with 7,9 – $2.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 7 with 3,5 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 2,6 with 3,5 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 7 with 1,8,9 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $4.50
15 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 7 with 3,5 with 4 with 4,6,8,11 – $4.00 $0.50 Pick 5 (4/5/3/4/11) Paid $10.50 (4OF5)

Total: $88.50

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 3,5,7 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $4.50

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7,10 with 3,5,7 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $13.50
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 4,9 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 3,5,7 with 4 with 7,9 – $3.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7,10 with 4,9 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $9.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7,10 with 3,5,7 with 4 with 7,9 – $9.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 4,9 with 4 with 7,9 – $2.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,6 with 3,5,7 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $13.50
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,8 with 4 with 2,3,10 – $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 3,5,7 with 4 with 4,6,8,11 – $6.00

Total: $67.50

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 3yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Time for Xtra Heat son Pimpernel to graduate? Doffs blinks, adds Lasix. As discussed on ATR, ‘other’ Baffert Roger Rocket has some historic pedigree strength out of a sister to Mutakkdim. Garen from Peter Miller (who delivered $30 El Nino Terrible to listeners Friday) is a half to Invasor who adds the hood and gets a pace to close into. Firsters Cowtownmary, Ferocious and Reno Rebel all have impressed National Turf stopwatches in the morning..

Most Likely: #8 Pimpernel 3-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Garen 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Roger Rocket 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Ferocious 10-1 2nd

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Bee Brave 3-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #8 Moulin de Mougin 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Clear Pearl 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Heat Du Jour 4-1 8th

8th: 67th Strub (G2), 4yo, 8.5f (DD)

Nicely balanced cast for this with plenty of pace up front..

Most Likely: #3 Shakin It Up 7-2 WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #6 Hear the Ghost 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Rookie Sensation 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Governor Charlie 4-1 3rd

9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Dancinginthestreet 4-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Practising 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #6 Cacica Dulima 30-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Star Act 10-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #2 Kitten de Pere 9-2 8th

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 8 with 1,6 with 3,6 with 3 – $6.00

A’s with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 10,11 with 1,6 with 3,6 with 3 – $8.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 8 with 3,8 with 3,6 with 3 – $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 8 with 1,6 with 2,5 with 3 -$4.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 8 with 1,6 with 3,6 with 6,10 – $8.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 10,11 with 3,8 with 3,6 with 3 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 10,11 with 1,6 with 2,5 with 3 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 10,11 with 1,6 with 3,6 with 6,10 – $8.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (11/6/3/10) Paid $142.65
9 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,8 with 2,5 with 3 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,8 with 3,6 with 6,10 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 1,6 with 2,5 with 6,10 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,6 with 3,6 with 3 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 4 with 3,6 with 3 – $1.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 1,6 with 4,7,8 with 3 – $3.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 1,6 with 3,6 with 1,2 – $4.00

Total: $68.00

AQU proves fruitful; GP beckons for Friday

Friday, January 17th, 2014

Some of the obvious players scratched out of the late P4 sequence at Aqueduct Thursday, but things worked out nicely anyway as $17.80 Voodoo Tales keyed a very good afternoon. Vulnerable Pletch stretch fave Violet Hour was dueled into submission by Esquivel and Voodoo Tales and not only generated a $195 quad hit, but triggered a bulky $367 triple ($1) with 11-1 Hugh McMahon invader No Means No up for 2nd. No Means No hinted at being a great exotics candidate given the Laurel N1X regular was clearly in NY for a shot at the nice $53k starter ALW pot. With the solid purses available these days in Maryland, you had to think that McMahon wouldn’t go to the trouble of coming to Queens without a viable runner. So, what at first looked like a problematic situation with the scratch of Royal Suspicion — whom I really liked and was going to essentially single — turned out to a fortuitous result. Hope everyone did well.

Gulfstream seemed liked the best candidate for Friday action, though Santa Anita ended up generating a $42k P6 carryover for later.. Big Weekend Preview ATR coming up with Hersh, Privman, Welsch, Tammaro, DeRosa, Hammerle and HRTV’s Amy Zimmerman.

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-4+, 1m-T/0′ (P5, P3, DD)

It took forever to get Frere Pilgrim on the turf and when she did, she ran her career best. Will have to do it on front end again, but Rosario sticks and drop has to help. May have found right spot and it will be interesting to see if she gets claimed as the better bred half sister to GSW/G1PL Tamarind Hall (Graeme Hall)..

Most Likely: #3 Frere Pilgrim 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Dont Miss Crissy 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Hit Squad 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Bet On Kitten 4-1 3rd

7th: OC/N3X, 4+, 8.5f-T/60′ (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Sleepless Knight 5-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Bombaguia 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Kalamos 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 English Progress 8-1 4th

8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Hennig’s Full of Sugar will have to negotiate the irksome one hole, but fact that Rosario lands here over Pletcher/Coolmore player Spring Blossom worth price of admission (ML 12-1)..

Best Value: #1 Full of Sugar 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Lucky for You 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 House Rules 5-1 WON ($13.00)
Super Add: #11 Secret Someone 10-1 8th

9th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-4+, 7.5f-T/0′ (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Feelingbettertoday 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Bella Promessa 10-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Brandys Secret 3-1 WON ($3.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Dance With Gio 12-1 8th

10th: MSW, F&M-4+, 5f-T/60′ (Super Hi-5)

Feels like this has to collapse at least a bit with 6-7 involved on the front end..

Most Likely: #2 Street Trick 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Zamquick 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Braided 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 So Royal 10-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #8 Town Tour 5-1 5th

<$75 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 3,5 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 8 with 2 – $8.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 6 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 8 with 2 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 1,3 with 8 with 2 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 7 with 2 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 8 with 4,6 – $8.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P5: 6 with 2 with 1,3 with 8 with 2 – $1.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 6 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 7 with 2 – $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 6 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 8 with 4,6 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 1,3 with 7 with 2 -$2.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 1,3 with 8 with 4,6 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 7 with 4,6 – $8.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 8 with 2 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 8 with 2 – $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 1,5 with 7,8,9,10,11,12 with 8 with 2 – $12.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 2 with 2 – $4.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 8 with 8,11 – $8.00

Total: $73.00

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 2,6 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 2,6 – $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 11,12 with 7,8 with 2,6 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,3 with 2 with 2,6 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 4,11 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5 with 11,12 with 7,8 with 2,6 – $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5 with 1,3 with 2 with 2,6 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 4,11 – $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 11,12 with 2 with 2,6 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 11,12 with 7,8 with 4,11 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,3 with 2 with 4,11 – $2.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 2,6 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 7,8,9,10 with 7,8 with 2,6 – $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,3 with 5 with 2,6 – $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 8 – $2.00

Total: $66.00

AQU P4 opens up after SCR’s by heavy favorites

Thursday, January 16th, 2014

Got fortunate at Gulfstream Wednesday as ‘C’ ticket converted for $105 to defray overall investment of $135 in the P5 & P4. $22.80 Where’s the Baby upset the P5 opener and was not on my radar at all, but at least when Starship Journey ($17.60) prevailed in the 7th, the back up ticket had life. The very obvious horses in the late trio — Private Ensign, Ack Rider, Wire Funds — not only came through, but dominated. Hope everyone did OK. An interesting late P4 at AQU today with a MSW with several options to start ahead of a 7th-9th that may only require a narrow band of inclusions..

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Appears you need to cover 6 of these (1-2-3-5-9-10) to get by..

Most Likely: #3 Biddy Martin 3-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Magdalena Bay 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Hey Kiddo 7-2 WON ($9.40)
Best Value: #5 Latin Tudor 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Cinnamonjellybean 5-1 8th

7th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Royal Suspicion SCR’D should sit ideal stalking trip behind stretchout speeds. Will be surprised if she gets beat..

Best Value: #8 Voodoo Tales 12-1 WON ($17.80)
Next Best: #4 Violet Hour 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Garmentos Girl 8-1 8th
Super Add: #10 No Means No 12-1 2nd

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (DD)

2nd/break Cubicle Queen — who gets pilot upgrade to Baker go-to guy J. Ortiz — and Talent N Passion look to be the speeds here. Favored Aliana, SCR’D in light with Esquivel, looms close up and poised to strike should one or the other pacesetters get away too easily..

Best Value: #3 The Magic Stone 5-1 WON ($6.30)
Next Best: #1e Hushion entry 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Darling Bridezilla 10-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Cubicle Queen 15-1 6th

9th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 4+, 6f

SCR Ballybrit who broke MDN Sunday..

Best Value: #9 Private Irving A 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Nail It 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Insighting 4-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Keyaly 8-1 7th

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,10 with 4,8 with 1,3 with 9 – $8.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 4,8 with 1,3 with 9 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 1 with 1,3 with 9 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 4,8 with 2,5 with 9 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 4,8 with 1,3 with 1 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 1 with 1,3 with 9 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 4,8 with 2,5 with 9 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 4,8 with 1,3 with 1 – $4.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (1/8/3/1,8,10) Paid $195.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 1 with 2,5 with 9 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 1 with 1,3 with 1 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 4,8 with 2,5 with 1 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 4,8 with 1,3 with 9 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 2,9,10 with 1,3 with 9 – $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 4,8 with 6 with 9 – $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 4,8 with 1,3 with 2,4 – $8.00

Total: $58.00