Archive for the 'Uncategorized' Category

$70k SA C/O to start big weekend of action

Friday, January 31st, 2014

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3)

Edgy start to sequence with top 2 ML choices both having to stretch out to the mile trip. 3-1 Sheza Smoke Show bit better bred for it than 8-5 Koukla..

Most Likely: #4 Sheza Smoke Show 3-1 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #2 Koukla 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Loan Savant 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 One More Wild Ride 7-2 5th

4th: CLM, 4yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Last thing you want to see is group like this where virtually all of the 7 seem win-eligible under one scenario or another. Faves Topper’s Ghost and Too Fast to Pass take class dives and next 4 players all have decent enough form at the level. Even 20-1 Ancient Monarch appears a possibility with solid workout pattern returning from November and some endorsement from clocking community. Race a major headache for ticket construction..

Most Likely: #7 Topper’s Ghost 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Change of Plan 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Judge Carr 4-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Ancient Monarch 20-1 5th

5th: Cal-MSW, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Down the hill and West Point purchase Gospel Music should like the experience.. SCR Note: Odin comes out and Tricky Journey could end up lone speed..

Most Likely: #4 Gospel Music 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Pressure Time 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Tricky Journey 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Tizapalooza 9-2 6th

6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 7f (P3)

Nothing more dangerous than lone speed at 7f and you need to hope that Ralphy Girl gets clear and doesn’t look back..

Most Likely: #3 Ralphy Girl 3-1 5th
Next Best: #1 No Tricks for Jack 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Summers Dignity 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Mary Contrary 7-2 2nd

7th: ALW/N2X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Question here is fitness (with 5 off breaks and 4 more 2nd/break) as well as pace. How much pressure can we expect on Kinz Funky Monkey and Zia Zia Zia? Could Be Trouble is first time as a 4yo and likely improved since ’13 departure. The lean..

Most Likely: #10 Could Be Trouble 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Remise 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 My Lil Shamrock 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Ultrasonic 3-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Premier Steps 6-1 2nd

8th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Ke in Motion 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Voluntary 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Rambling House 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: 1 Polished Silver 4-1 6th

<$175 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 4 with 3 with 10 with 7 -$4.00

A’s with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 2,5 with 4 with 3 with 10 with 7 – $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 3,6 with 3 with 10 with 7 – $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 4 with 3 with 7,8 with 7 – $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 4 with 3 with 10 with 4,6 – $8.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 2,5 with 3,6 with 3 with 10 with 7 – $16.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 2,5 with 4 with 3 with 7,8 with 7 – $16.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 2,5 with 4 with 3 with 10 with 4,6 – $16.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 3,6 with 3 with 7,8 with 7 – $16.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 3,6 with 3 with 10 with 4,6 – $16.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 4 with 3 with 7,8 with 4,6 – $16.00

A’s with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 3,6 with 7 with 4 with 3 with 10 with 7 – $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 4,6/SCR with 4 with 3 with 10 with 7 – $8.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 7 with 3 with 10 with 7 – $4.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 4 with 1,2,7 with 10 with 7 – $12.00

Total: $160.00

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 3 with 8,10 with 7 – $6.00

A’s with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 3,7 with 3 with 8,10 with 7 – $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 1 with 8,10 with 7 – $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 3 with 7 with 7 – $2.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 3 with 8,10 with 4,6 – $8.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 1 with 8,10 with 7 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 3 with 7 with 7 – $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 3 with 8,10 with 4,6 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1 with 7 with 7 – $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1 with 8,10 with 4,6 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 3 with 7 with 4,6 – $2.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8,9 with 3 with 8,10 with 7 – $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,7,8 with 8,10 with 7 – $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 3 with 1,2,9 with 7 – $3.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 3 with 8,10 with 1,2,3,5 – $8.00

Total: $58.00

 

AQU P4 relies heavily on favorite in feature

Thursday, January 30th, 2014

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: CLM, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Old fashioned $50k claimer featuring 10yo Ravalo and 9yo Be Bullish who have banked more than $2.2MM between them.

Most Likely: #7 Kingsford Drive 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Night Maneuver 9-5 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #2 Ravalo 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1a Be Bullish 5-2 2nd

6th: NY-MCLM/$35k, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Lemme Rock 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #1 Nowurcookinwithgas 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 She’s a Sizzler 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Crazy Over Easy 5-1 4th

7th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Terrific state bred set with attractive prices like City Gone Wild (12-1) and Hundred Acre Wood (8-1) offering great opportunity. Hundred Acre Wood returns to Empire ALW company after excellent open try last while red hot Esler reunites City Gone Wild with Wilmer for inside stalking voyage. Gloria Victoria, Princess Mara, Erin Enchanted and Family of Roses demand attention and then you have hard-knocking mare like Great Gracie Dane and Downtown Hottie to respect..

Best Value: #1 City Gone Wild 12-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Hundred Acre Wood 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Gloria Victoria 7-2 WON ($8.20)
Super Add: #10 Family of Roses 6-1 2nd

8th: OC/N3X, 4+, 1m (DD)

Would like to find a way to beat Don Dulce but he gets some class relief here as well as an ideal stalking trip behind Colleen’s Sailor and Rush Now..

Most Likely: #2 Don Dulce 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #4 Rush Now 5-2 WON ($7.10)
Exotics Use: #3 Keep the Canoli 12-1 4th

9th: MCLM/$25k, 3yo, 6f

Not a ‘desperate’ looking group as you sometimes see in these assemblies. 2nd timer Eltanin and blinkers-added Holylicious were length apart, next best placements 1/2/14 and figure prominent again here. Heading to Boca drops from better company and cuts back. Karamajo improved when dipping to this level last time for KMc/Magnuson and turns back as well. #1e Chatterpaul entry and Jeremiah Englehart’s Shanks for Nothin deserve ‘C’ status on back-up tickets..

Best Value: #8 Eltanin 5-1 WON ($8.10)
Next Best: #4 Holyicious 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Heading to Boca 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Karamojo 5-1 6th

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,9 with 2 with 4,8 – $8.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,9 with 2 with 4,8 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 4,10 with 2 with 4,8 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,9 with 4 with 4,8 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,9 with 2 with 2,3 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 4,10 with 2 with 4,8 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,9 with 4 with 4,8 – $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,9 with 2 with 2,3 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 4,10 with 4 with 4,8 – $4.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (7,8/4,11/4/8) Paid $140.50
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 4,10 with 2 with 2,3 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,9 with 4 with 2,3 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 1,9 with 2 with 4,8 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 5,6,7,8 with 2 with 4,8 – $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,9 with 1,3,6 with 4,8 – $12.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,9 with 2 with 1,7 – $4.00

Total: $68.00

 

AQU Monday action after intense weekend

Monday, January 27th, 2014

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Rap d’Oro 2-1
Next Best: #7 Dapper Draper 9-5
Best Value: #2 Life’s a Roar 20-1
Exotics Use: #1 Commudus 5-1

7th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Scotus 2-1
Best Value: #6 Buckeye Heart 8-1
Next Best: #7 Road Agent 5-1
Exotics Use: #4 Festive Spirit 15-1

8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 5.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Abra 3-5
Next Best: #4 Sokitumi Samurai 7-2
Best Value: #5 D’ Sauvage 20-1
Exotics Use: #2 Bear’s Spirit 4-1

9th: NY-MCLM/$35k, 3yo, 6f

Most Likely: #6 American Creed 9-5
Next Best: #4 Fusaichi’s Song 12-1
Best Value: #5 All Over Me 20-1
Exotics Use: #3 Campion Lane 15-1

<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,6 with 3 with 6 – $6.00

A’s with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 1,2 with 2,6 with 3 with 6 – $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 4,7 with 3 with 6 – $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,6 with 3 with 4,8,9 – $12.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 4,7 with 3 with 6 – $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 2,6 with 3 with 4,8,9 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 4,7 with 3 with 4,8,9 – $6.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6,8 with 2,6 with 3 with 6 – $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 9 with 3 with 6 – $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,6 with 3 with 3,5,7 – $6.00

Total: $50.00

Good luck!
Steve

Cal Cup mayhem yields $431k Sunday C/O!

Sunday, January 26th, 2014

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: OC/C, 4+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Dangerous opener to the sequence..

SCR Note: Artic North & Black Spirit defections change complexion of this..

Most Likely: #3 Horizontalyspeakin 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #7 Imperative 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 American Act 8-1 5th

5th: Cal-MCLM/$50k, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3)

Most Likely: #1 Q’ Viva 3-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Everheart 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Top Pegasus 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Writer Fever 5-2 WON ($8.40)

6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P4, P3)

With drought in area, speed has been increasingly tough to stop, making Divine Way more imposing than she might be otherwise. Firsters Bird In Love, Taylor Lane, Diversy Harbor and Pragmatical all have shown ability in the mornings..

Most Likely: #3 Divine Way 7-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Morning Star 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Bird In Love 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Diversy Harbor 6-1 WON ($13.00)

7th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P3)

Bookend favorites appear to have edge on firsters (Superlooper, Surfer Moon) and ‘first time Petey Miller’ Dublin Up. Going 6.5f, give nod to outside player Sawyer’s Hill with Bejarano..

Most Likely: #9 Sawyer’s Hill 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Chelios 9-5 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #8 Dublin Up 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Superlooper 9-2 5th

8th: 4th Clocker’s Corner-R, 4+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Would be looking to side with speed again down the hill but there’s a whole lot of it involved here. Well-matched and difficult spot for the multi-race skein..

Most Likely: #9 Ready for More 3-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Drill 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 El Commodore 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Boat Trip 4-1 7th

9th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Warren’s Tyler S. 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 On My Honor 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 World Famous Sam T 6-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Broker Brett 9-2 7th
Hi-5 Play: #8 Tribal Smoke 9-2 3rd

<$150 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1 with 3 with 9 with 9 with 4 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 4,7 with 1 with 3 with 9 with 9 with 4 – $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 9 with 3 with 9 with 9 with 4 – $2.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1 with 1,7 with 9 with 9 with 4 – $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1 with 3 with 1 with 9 with 4 – $2.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1 with 3 with 9 with 3,6 with 4 – $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1 with 3 with 9 with 9 with 6,9 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

8 $2.00 pick P6: 4,7 with 9 with 3 with 9 with 9 with 4 – $4.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 4,7 with 1 with 1,7 with 9 with 9 with 4 – $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 4,7 with 1 with 3 with 1 with 9 with 4 – $4.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 4,7 with 1 with 3 with 9 with 3,6 with 4 – $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 4,7 with 1 with 3 with 9 with 9 with 6,9 – $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 9 with 1,7 with 9 with 9 with 4 – $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 9 with 3 with 1 with 9 with 4 – $2.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 9 with 3 with 9 with 3,6 with 4 – $4.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 9 with 3 with 9 with 9 with 6,9 – $4.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1 with 1,7 with 1 with 9 with 4 – $4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1 with 1,7 with 9 with 3,6 with 4 – $8.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1 with 1,7 with 9 with 9 with 6,9 – $8.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1 with 3 with 1 with 3,6 with 4 – $4.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1 with 3 with 1 with 9 with 6,9 – $4.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1 with 3 with 9 with 3,6 with 6,9 – $8.00

A’s with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 2,6 with 1 with 3 with 9 with 9 with 4 – $4.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 4,6 with 3 with 9 with 9 with 4 – $4.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1 with 8,9,11 with 9 with 9 with 4 – $6.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1 with 3 with 5,6,8 with 9 with 4 – $6.00
27 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1 with 3 with 9 with 2,4 with 4 – $4.00
28 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1 with 3 with 9 with 9 with 1,2,5,8 – $8.00

Total: $136.00

@$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 3 with 9 with 9 with 4,9 – $3.00

A’s with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 1,7 with 9 with 9 with 4,9 – $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 3 with 1,8 with 9 with 4,9 – $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 3 with 9 with 3,4,6 with 4,9 – $6.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 3 with 9 with 9 with 2,6 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 1,8 with 9 with 4,9 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 9 with 3,4,6 with 4,9 – $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 9 with 9 with 2,6 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,8 with 3,4,6 with 4,9 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,8 with 9 with 2,6 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 9 with 3,4,6 with 2,6 – $3.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9,11 with 9 with 9 with 4,9 – $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 3,5,6 with 9 with 4,9 – $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 9 with 2,7 with 4,9 – $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 9 with 9 with 5,8 – $1.00

Total: $51.00

Powell’s ‘Prospect’ propells profit; Big Saturday on tap

Saturday, January 25th, 2014

Hard to be disappointed with the strong day Thursday at Santa Anita, but also know that a big pay day was well within reach and was missed. The P6 paid $75k to 13 players, at least 2 of which utilized the analysis that offered $29 Awesome Prospect as a major upset candidate in the middle of the sequence. I settled for the $544 5 of 6 conso and $1,488 on the P4 as my own P6 ticket had 3 “A’s”, 2 “B’s” and Only the Gold as a fateful “C”. To hit Thursday, the investment had to be closer to $250 or more fortuitous adjustment in the A-B-C priorities. Still, it was a swell afternoon and I’m delighted for the large group of people that appear to have benefitted from the write-up or discussions with Brad Free and Rich Eng on ATR.

Most of all, finding Leo Powell’s Awesome Prospect and making him key to plays serves as indisputable evidence that if you do the work associated with the most rewarding elements of handicapping, you will get to winners and impact your bankroll positively. Believe it. Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible “they’ve” made it to win at this game.. Meanwhile, the rest of us will do the work, satisfy our intellectual curiosity and enjoy the challenge. Great weekend ahead. Continued good luck to the NHC players!

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: 37th Forward Gal (G2), 3yo-F, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Onlyforyou 7-5 WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #2 Aurelia’s Belle 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Resistivity 4-1 3rd

8th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 7.5f-T/36′ (P4, P3, DD)

Going to figure that Apologize (6-1) gets lost on the board and floats upward to providing an overlay. Filly hales from important Alexander/Groves female line that boasts Blue Hen mare Courtly Dee (Althea, Aquilegia, Twining, Noble Courtier, et al) as 2nd dam. Apologize’s own dam Aurelia is a half to both Atelier and Aldiza. There has been plenty of turf success in the family and being by Lemon Drop Kid should help bring it out in Apologize. She’s a better horse now then when she tried grass in fall of her 2yo year and seems a viable key in this wide open group..

Best Value: #3 Apologize 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Kipling’s Joy 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #9 First Acquital 5-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Shop Gal 12-1 7th

9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/96′ (P3, DD)

Another event where breeding looms, Emollient sister Calm Water (Mott) and Data Link sib Guard the Lines (McGaughey) being the glaring examples. Archangelus is out of Palais Versailles, daughter of the great Versailles Treaty and sister of Saarland and George Vancouver. But the story in this group centers around the breeder/owner who brought you Fort Larned.. and Bayakoa.. and Affluent. Janis Whitham has amassed a remarkable record with a narrow band of stock and there could be a lot of upside in Innate Grace whom Ian Wilkes starts here. While everyone will be familiar with the Juddmonte and Janney produce, many may have forgotten the underappreciated Affluent whose dam Trinity Place (Strawberry Road) was a half sister of Arlucea (Broad Brush), the dam of Fort Larned. Affluent had the misfortune of being a 3yo when Xtra Heat exploded in 2001 and a 4yo when Azeri was going nuts in 2002. But as a sophomore, she won the G1 Queen Elizabeth II (9f-Turf) in October and the G1 La Brea (7f-Dirt) in December. As an older filly and mare, she continued to demonstrate her ability on any surface at varied distance winning the G1 Mabee/Ramona at DMR (9f-Turf) and G1 Santa Monica (7f-Dirt) at SA. She NEVER missed a check in 23 career starts (8-5-4-3-3), hitting the board in 10 of 13 G1’s for earnings of just under $1,500,000 for Ron McAnally. Innate Grace is 20-1 and the surface and added ground should suit her..

Best Value: #3 Innate Grace 20-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Calm Water 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Joy’s Kitten 5-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Miz Lee 10-1 3rd

10th: 28th Holy Bull (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Fascinating edition of the this Fountain of Youth/Florida Derby prequel with credentialed Cairo Prince meeting a big group of wannabes. Most interesting price prospects are drawn to the very difficult outside in Conquest Titan (12-1) and Intense Holiday (6-1). There’s not a great deal of speed involved here and you get the sense that Cairo Prince will be in the best position throughout. Think he’s better than Coup de Grace whose reputation took a hit by proxy when Unknown Road embarrassed himself Friday at Fair Grounds. There’s no reason that Mr. Speaker — whose dam Salute is a daughter of Personal Ensign and hence a half to My Flag, Miners Mark, etc. — shouldn’t get over the main track..

Most Likely: #7 Cairo Prince 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #9 Conquest Titan 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Intense Holiday 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Mr. Speaker 5-1 7th

11th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/96′ (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Charade 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Stars Collide 8-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #3 Lucky Empress 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Henin 4-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #8 Princess Zaima 12-1

<$75 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 10 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 10 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 1,10,12 with 7,9 with 10 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 3,7 with 6,11 with 10 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 4 – $4.00 $0.50 Pick 5 (3/1,7,8,11/11/7/4) Paid $9.60 (4OF5)

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 1,10,12 with 7,9 with 10 – $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 3,7 with 6,11 with 10 – $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 4 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 1,10,12 with 6,11 with 10 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 1,10,12 with 7,9 with 4 – $6.00 $0.50 Pick 5 (3/1,7,8,11/11/7/4) Paid $9.60 (4OF5)
11 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 3,7 with 6,11 with 4 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 2,5,6 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 10 – $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 4,5,8 with 7,9 with 10 – $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 3,7 with 1,2,8 with 10 – $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 2,3,8 – $12.00

Total: $73.00

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1 pick P4: 3,8 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 10 – $8.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 10 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 1,10,12 with 7,9 with 10 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 3,7 with 11 with 10 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 4 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 1,10,12 with 7,9 with 10 – $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 3,7 with 11 with 10 – $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 4 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 1,10,12 with 11 with 10 – $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 1,10,12 with 7,9 with 4 – $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 3,7 with 11 with 4 – $2.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,6 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 10 – $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 4,5 with 7,9 with 10 – $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 3,7 with 1,6,8 with 10 – $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 2,3,8 – $12.00

Total: $67.00

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: 57th Santa Monica (G2), F&M-4+, 7f (P3)

There’s potential for Teddy’s Promise and Socialbug to get into a duel here which would open it up for stalking alternatives Iotapa and Heir Kitty. Teddy’s Promise crosses the millionaire threshold with a win in what is her final career start..

Most Likely: #2 Teddy’s Promise 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Iotapa 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Heir Kitty 3-1 4th

5th: CA SunMill F&M Turf Sprint, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3)

$74k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #8 Unusual Hottie 7-2 4th
Next Best: #7 This Means War 4-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Heat Du Jour 12-1 11th
Exotics Use: #11 Ciao Bella Luna 9-2 WON ($13.00)

6th: CA-MSW, F&M-4+, 6f (P3)

Very tricky group. Tribal Torch could jump forward first time on real dirt. Girl On the Lam with upset potential. Next pair logical and even Benecia Gem, Swiss Heart and Tickle Again may require ‘C’ coverage..

Most Likely: #5 Tribal Torch 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Girl On the Lam 8-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Sea John’s Spirit 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Heavens Stairway 4-1 3rd

7th: 1st Cal Cup Oaks, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #13 Swiss Lake Yodeler 7-2 11th
Best Value: #7 Kukaluka 12-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Sprague River 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #12 Cal Gal 12-1 8th

8th: 24th Cal Cup Sprint, 4+, 6f (P3)

Most Likely: #10 Big Macher 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #6 Cyclometer 2-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Spirit Rules 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Follini 12-1 8th

9th: 24th Cal Cup Turf Classic, 4+, 9f-T (DD)

Question here is simply if Summer Hit gets any pressure on front end. If not, he’ll wire. Weewinnin may not want this kind of trip, but could be the one that takes some starch out of the fave for Jules Journey, Tiz a Minister, Huntsville, China Prince or Stoney Fleece..

Most Likely: #1 Summer Hit 7-2 9th
Best Value: #9 China Prince 12-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Huntsville 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Jules Journey 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Tiz a Minister 6-1 13th

10th: 1st Cal Cup Derby, 3yo, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 California Chrome 7-2 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #8 Awesome Return 12-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Tamarando 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Life Is a Joy 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Aotearoa 10-1

<$175 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 7 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 7 – $2.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 3,4,7 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 7 – $6.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 7,8 with 10 with 1 with 7 – $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 6,9 with 1 with 7 – $4.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 5,9 with 7 – $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 4,8 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

8 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 3,4,7 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 7 – $6.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 7,8 with 10 with 1 with 7 – $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 13 with 6,9 with 1 with 7 – $4.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 5,9 with 7 – $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 4,8 – $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 3,4,7 with 7,8 with 10 with 1 with 7 – $12.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 3,4,7 with 13 with 6,9 with 1 with 7 – $12.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 3,4,7 with 13 with 10 with 5,9 with 7 – $12.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 3,4,7 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 4,8 – $12.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 7,8 with 6,9 with 1 with 7 – $8.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 7,8 with 10 with 5,9 with 7 – $8.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 7,8 with 10 with 1 with 4,8 – $8.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 6,9 with 5,9 with 7 – $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 6,9 with 1 with 4,8 – $8.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 5,9 with 4,8 – $8.00

A’s with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 2,3,11 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 7 – $6.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 2,6,8 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 7 – $6.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 4,6,12 with 10 with 1 with 7 – $6.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 1 with 1 with 7 – $2.00
27 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 7,8 with 7 – $4.00
28 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 2,6 – $4.00

Total: $172.00

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 13 with 10 with 1 with 4,7,8 – $4.50

A’s with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 10 with 1 with 4,7,8 – $6.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 13 with 6,9 with 1 with 4,7,8 – $6.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 13 with 10 with 5,7,8,9 with 4,7,8 – $12.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 13 with 10 with 1 with 2 – $1.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 6,9 with 1 with 4,7,8 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 10 with 5,7,8,9 with 4,7,8 – $12.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 10 with 1 with 2 – $1.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 13 with 6,9 with 5,7,8,9 with 4,7,8 – $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 13 with 6,9 with 1 with 2 – $1.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 13 with 10 with 5,7,8,9 with 2 – $2.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6,12 with 10 with 1 with 4,7,8 – $4.50
13 $0.50 pick P4: 13 with 1,3 with 1 with 4,7,8 – $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 13 with 10 with 11 with 4,7,8 – $1.50
15 $0.50 pick P4: 13 with 10 with 1 with 6 – $0.50

Total: $73.00