Betting Music Note to Show

[mbahadur]

Originally Posted by Betsy

No one is doubting who she beat, but is there a question that she's a very good filly? I'm going to ask this question on this board because I know I'll get an honest answer. On another board I post at, there are just too many non-objective fans who either don't like Godolphin, don't like this filly, or whatever.

Does Music Note stand a chance in the Distaff (sorry, I'm not calling it the Ladie's Classic)? Nevermind to win, but to at least run well?

She doesn't stand a chance against Zenyatta. Tough Tiz's Sis has some synthetic form. Hystericalady has been on fire on dirt but laid an egg the last time she ran on synthetic. The wild card is how well Ginger Punch will do on synthetic (as she is a better dirt horse than Music Note). But they all will be running for second against Zenyatta.

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by mbahadur

She doesn't stand a chance against Zenyatta. Tough Tiz's Sis has some synthetic form. Hystericalady has been on fire on dirt but laid an egg the last time she ran on synthetic. The wild card is how well Ginger Punch will do on synthetic (as she is a better dirt horse than Music Note). But they all will be running for second against Zenyatta.

What if Music Note freaks on the synthetic?

[Betsy]

Ugh, that's right.......I forgot about the synthetic. That's not going to prove a thing.....shoot. I wish Music Note could face at least Ginger Punch before the Distaff (she won't be facing PS again) so we could see how good she is on a real dirt surface.

[mbahadur]

Originally Posted by Betsy

Ugh, that's right.......I forgot about the synthetic. That's not going to prove a thing.....shoot. I wish Music Note could face at least Ginger Punch before the Distaff (she won't be facing PS again) so we could see how good she is on a real dirt surface.

Ginger Punch is running in the Beldame in 2 weeks -- no way Godolphin runs Music Note back in 2 weeks against Ginger Punch. They could try the Spinster at Keeneland in 3 weeks if they want to see how she fares on synthetic. But she has had alot of races this summer (including a tough one last time out against Proud Spell) and I cannot see them running her again before the Breeders Cup.

[Betsy]

Originally Posted by mbahadur

Ginger Punch is running in the Beldame in 2 weeks -- no way Godolphin runs Music Note back in 2 weeks against Ginger Punch. They could try the Spinster at Keeneland in 3 weeks if they want to see how she fares on synthetic. But she has had alot of races this summer (including a tough one last time out against Proud Spell) and I cannot see them running her again before the Breeders Cup.

good points, thanks! Yep, I guess she'll go directly to the BC - if she doesn't handle it and runs poorly, it's not necessarily a reflection of her ability and she'll get a nice long rest before her 4 year old campaign.

[mbahadur]

Originally Posted by dalakhani

What if Music Note freaks on the synthetic?

With Zenyatta at even money or better, you will get a nice return on your investment if she freaks on the synthetic.

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by mbahadur

With Zenyatta at even money or better, you will get a nice return on your investment if she freaks on the synthetic.

Well, I am not going to make any calls until at least they run a race on the surface. I have seen a long list of cant lose freaks coming into the BC only to lose when it was time to dance. Riboletta is the one that always comes to mind when I think of recent ones that couldnt lose. I guess you could throw sightseek in there as well.

Music Note has shown terrific ability. She is young, lightly raced and bred to improve down the road. I wouldnt be ready to just give the race to Zenyatta especially considering her likely price.