Quote:
Originally Posted by Riot
Obama's approval numbers are low now, yes. But look at the Dem vs GOP numbers - the GOP is still at the bottom. The views on the GOP positive for dealing with issues is still lower than the Dems, very low.
For a GOP vs Dem congress this fall, right now the GOP only barely wins by 2% points.
So people are unhappy with the Dems, but the GOP isn't winning any new friends and isn't above them, they are below them. Remember alot of people unhappy with the Dems are progressives that feel this administration is too conservative (healthcare was 'way too conservative for many on the left)
And still the public says that Obama inherited the mess 40% versus "it's his" 27%
So I don't see where "any" GOP candidate could beat Obama at all, right now, today. Too much baggage, too far to the right to appeal to any center, which decides the election. Reagan won on the center, not the base. The people who are voting GOP say they do so "primarily to cut government spending" - yet Bush took us from surplus to massive deficit, started two wars, etc. People know that.
Again: name a GOP candidate, guys. Who could do it?
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I guess we'll see what happens in November. That article makes it sound like the Republicans are going to have huge gains in the House and Senate in the November elections. It said that it is possible that the Republicans could even gain control of both the House and Senate.
You say that the centrists may not support a Republican because they may feel he is too far to the right. I would argue that many of those centrists would not vote for Obama because they may now feel that he's too far to the left. We will see.
I assume you do realize that the Republicans will pick up seats in November. There is no doubt about that. The questions is how many seats.