Very few Zenyatta fans distinguish between dirt and synthetic races and assume they would all play out the same.
Zenyatta has 1 dirt win, and admittedly it was an awesome win with a 110 beyer over a champion Ginger Punch. Yes, she beat a champion that day, establishing her quality on both surfaces.
But nearly all of her races and wins have come on tracks that favor her running style with the exception of her thumping Ginger Punch.
I would not bet that she could win with that running style every single time if 90% of her races were on a dirt track, rather than the other way around.
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