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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
You're really worried that she'll struggle with an extra furlong because of Ivarone quotes, a pedigree, and the fact that she finished 3rd in her only two two-turn races ... both in Grade 1 races ... and for trainers who have horrendous synthetic stats?
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Wouldn't the Ivarone quote be concerning for those thinking about playing the filly in the future pool because it indicates that they might not even be pointing her toward the Oaks? Your analysis of why the horse could get 9f seems solid, but if the connections don't share those thoughts she might not be a smart play here.
As for the filly's chances to be a good 2-turn horse, I actually don't think the pedigree is a
complete negative for 8.5+. Overall it certainly seems geared toward one-turn, but the dam was a stakes winner going 9f.