Quote:
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Originally Posted by Dunbar
TheGreek has odds up on all the individual Derby entries in Pool 2. Unlike the Derby Future Wager, these are static (you get whatever the odds are when you bet)
Horse, Odds-to-1
Aikenite 65.5
American Lion 35.5
Buddys Saint 16.15
Caracortado 20.5
Connemara 25.5
Conveyance 16.15
D'Funnybone 30.5
Dave in Dixie 22.5
Discreetly Mine 25.5
Dublin 20.5
Eskendereya 9.25
Jackson Bend 25.5
Lookin at Lucky 14.15
Nextdoorneighbor 40.5
Nobles Promise 30.5
Odysseus 35.5
Radiohead (GB) 30.5
Rule 25.5
Setsuko 52.5
Sidneys Candy 20.5
Super Saver 16.15
Tempted to Tapit 52.5
Vale of York (Ire) 30.5
TheGreek is not offering the "All Others" bet. If you think fair odds for "All Others" should be 4-1, then TheGreek's odds constitute an 11.5% takeout. Different "All Others" assumptions lead to different vig conclusions. If you think 6-1 is fair for "All Others", then the vig on TheGreek's odds is 7%.
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Several of those odds can be beaten at World Sports Exchange (wsex.com):
Caracortado 25-1
Conveyance 30-1
D'Funnybone 40-1
Dave In Dixie 30-1
Super Saver 30-1
World Sports Exch is no longer "A" rated at SportsbookReview, however. (Some slow-pay problems.)
--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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