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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
It's thinking like this ^ that leads to horses like Hotep to be severly overrated ... because they're by A. P. Indy.
You're putting way too much emphasis in pedigrees with your distance projections. The horse just disputed a lively pace with Bickersons ... put her away with ease .. and drew off in the stretch to win by 6+ lengths going a mile.
You're really worried that she'll struggle with an extra furlong because of Ivarone quotes, a pedigree, and the fact that she finished 3rd in her only two two-turn races ... both in Grade 1 races ... and for trainers who have horrendous synthetic stats?
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I do like your Asmussen/Dutrow synthetic winner moving to dirt angle. Wish I would have thought of that before betting on the Davona Dale while the horse was still an overlay. She won't be an overlay in the Oaks future pool. I didn't think the pace in the Davona Dale was that fast but I know the fractional times at Gulfstream can be funky.