Quote:
Originally Posted by kgar311
The only, ONLY
reason they got 5/2 on the horse was because of the 12-1 morning line. If she had been 5-1/11-2 like Steve suggested she would of went off 3/5. Money went elsewhere late because of info provided in the program(odds and works). 5/2 was HUGE for this horse.
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I know that everyone else thinks he's crazy but to me, whether or not this happened, this is a very legitimate argument. Maybe a lot of the professional gamblers on here don't pay attention to the m/l odds when assessing a horse's chances but a lot of people going to the windows do. To say that what's listed in the program doesn't influence people at all is wrong, IMO. To what extent it does, I don't know. I remember when I first started playing, I would start off by looking at the m/l and I paid more attention to the horses that were the lowest odds since I assumed those were the ones given the best chances to win. Now, I don't look at the odds until after I've gone over each horse's pps. But I do think kgar is right here. If that horse had been listed at 7/2 or 4/1 on the m/l, she might have ended up at 1/2 odds. When you think of it that way, 5/2 was a great price to end up with on an "open secret" horse. I don't know that anyone was doing anything on purpose but just from reading the comments from all of the sharp players on here, even they know that the horse shouldn't have been 12/1 on the m/l. It's easy to say that Battaglia just blew it on that one and there's every chance that that's the case. I just think that this is not the kind of situation that's going to make people feel good about playing the races.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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