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Originally Posted by CSC
What are you basing this on? Beyer speed figures, one isolated race at Monmouth? The media hype? Isn't this the type of premature thinking of not taking into account that maybe certain horses improve as they get more exp? We know this can especially happen in the middle of a 3 yr old season. In addition she has to continually run high numbers, is it reasonable to say she can substain these races under untested conditions, you have to atleast admit(once again divorce yourself that she is a filly) that as a horse she has beaten 2 horses dueling themselves into the track in the Mother Goose and sitting off a distance challenged Munnings and a gunned out and out of element Summer Bird all on a renowned speed favoring track, race dynamics gift wrapped and tailored made to her strenghs.
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Experience isnt going to make up the chasm that was between Rachel and Summer Bird in the haskell. There was no real excuse in that race for Summer Bird. She was just better and i didnt see anything that would make me think the tables could be turned...except maybe 10f instead of 9f which she hasnt run yet and even that would be a reach.