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Originally Posted by philcski
Tryin' to figure what you see in Ravalo at 3-1... seems like he's lost a step (6,3 this year) and the Commonwealth was a moderate pace and he still gave it up... certainly a horse that knows the wire though and either of his races at MNR last winter would be good enough. I'm going to use 2,3,5 in there most likely. I like your thoughts of beating the goofy 3/5 Affirmatif in the first leg, though. I don't really get that line, I could understand 8/5 but he's not much better than anybody else in here (a glorified N1X). It's fallen a long way from the year where future BC Mile winner Artie Schiller put on a scintillating performance.
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There's nothing in that sprint that
Ravalo can't beat with any of his typical '08 performances. If he has lost a step, you wouldn't know it based on the :57.3 workout in March. That drill may have been responsible for the blah effort at KEE, and since when do you count on him beyond 6f anyway?
The horse I'd love to boost into this is
Celtic Innis, who is one my absolute favorite geldings. The winningest son ($510k) of the great
Yarrow Brae...
As for the Woodlawn, as I said on ATR last night, this is one of the more interesting betting affairs on the card. Don't know if my logic was faulty, but if
Affirmatif was anything other than ordinary, why run him in a $50k
listed stake? In that 2nd race at KEE he was downright embarassing, and it turns out that field he blasted at Gulfstream was perhaps the worst group of MSW turf runners of the meet. Only
Final Count came back to win with a decent figure (87 at KEE 4/19).
Oree won on the KEE main for Arnold with a scintillating 78 Beyer. The rest are, in the words of Serling, bums. Affirmatif can win I suppose, but there's three pace-interested parties in that race. Good luck to him...