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Old 04-24-2009, 10:09 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
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Quote:
Originally Posted by letswastemoney
it seems that if you feel that strongly about them winning, you should just key them on top of an exacta...
Disagree yet again. I don't have to feel strongly about a horse's chance to win when I bet it at 10-1. I just have to feel that the horse has more than a 9% chance to win the race. Similarly, I don't have to feel strongly about an 8-1's chance to win. If I think the horse has something like a 1 in 6 chance to win the race, I'll gladly bet it.

Taking that info and somehow hoping that they come in 1-2 is a major stretch.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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