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Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Let's assume that's the case in the FOY (which, actually, it isn't). It's certainly not the case in his other races.
What happened to all the FAST horses in the FOY? Did any finish ahead of him?
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I didn't play the big figure horses in the FOY. I bet Capt. Candyman Can with Quality Road.
That being said, I just don't see anything about Beethoven that would make me like him going forward. He has run basically the same race four times in a row and when everything breaks his way he gets in the mix. They went extremely fast in front of him and he picked up the pieces late but was still beaten a distance. Race dynamics were in his favor yesterday and though he went wide around the far turn, I just don't see anything about his trip that would make him seem likely.
Beethoven's signature win came in a race where he could barely run down a pacesetter who had gone very fast early while he had an absolutely perfect trip. He's going to have to step his game up in a big way.
NT