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Originally Posted by philcski
No question- you never know till they do it, like the Derby. Although I think I laid out reasonable arguments pre-race why 10F was certainly within her scope...
Visit is tough to use in the argument because I'm pretty sure she isn't half the filly of WaW or FT. I think WaW runs a clear second if she waits a little longer. FT ran the final 4F in a fantastic <:46 flat and the final quarter in :22 4/5. We've been watching Wait a While for a long time- we know for SURE she cannot do that, if she had moved at the same time as FT.
Leparoux gave her a masterful ride, no doubt, and rode her like he had a ton of horse.
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While her close was certainly impressive, I would argue that Visits 3F burst from 6 to 9F was even more impressive. Look at the chart, when Visit, WaW and SH are moving into the pace, FT is taking a breather.
No doubt there aren't many fillies that can finish with her. But if she had to run EARLIER, like the others did, she wouldn't have had that strong a late burst.
Once again, this isn't about WaW being better than her but more about WaW losing an opportunity (and the winner getting the better trip).