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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Here's what really happened in the race.....a strong pace was set with three horses near the lead who all collapsed. The eventual winner was best as she moved earliest, while sitting reasonably close to the collapsing pace, and was still able to hold off the horses that took advantage of the race dynamics. Of course Reciept was closing....she saved all the ground and the race came back to her. She most likely wouldn't have won had she not been shut off, but even if she had, she would need to be downgraded because she would have taken advantage of a dream set up.
Receipt is Fool's Gold.
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I agree, for the most part, except for the bolded section. If Receipt either gets through or inside-outs entering the stretch, she wins for fun.
The problem I have, however, is that, at least lately, it seems that pretty much every horse that wins on the turf does so with a either a dream setup or good fortune, when the probable winner has trouble. Has me wondering whether any of these ****ers is able to win without getting lucky or a perfect trip. And, more importantly, how predictable the game really is.