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Originally Posted by hi_im_god
kev:
he'll get crushed in rural virginia outside of the black vote. the black vote is about 20% of the state btw.
but there's a huge population in nova that now votes democratic.
he'll carry nova and the coastal southern counties along the n carolina border which have huge black majorities.
it's a question of turnout and margin's in those area's vs. mccains ability to motivate his voter's through the middle of the state.
i doubt many on mccain's staff are looking the state, rolling their eyes, and saying "puhleez!"
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He can absolutely bank on Northern VA, but the southeast corner of the state is no sure thing, by any means. I was born in raised in Hampton...so I know that area well. He can count on carrying Richmond...that's for certain. I mean good Lord...that city didn't get enough of Wilder as Gov., so they decided to elect him as the city Mayor
