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Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
First of all, we're not talking about 1/10th of a second. One length is about 1/5th of a second. So if a horse wins by 10 lengths instead of 5 lengths, we are talking about a full second. Under one scenario, the horse is all out. Under the other scenario, the horse is not even close to being all out. It makes a huge difference.
By the way, I saw Smarty Jones train between the Preakness and the Belmont and he didn't look like the same horse. In his morning gallops before the Derby and the Preakness, he couldn't have looked any sharper. He had his neck arched and ears pricked and he looked unbelievable. He didn't look the same way after the Preakness. That race knocked him out.
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Why does it make a huge difference?? Again, you haven't answered my question. You are making incredible inferences...I would tend to think running big races on the Derby Trail, then big races in the Derby and Preakness wore him out rather than just running the Preakness one second faster than he should have. It is the culmination of MANY races that tires the horse out...not running one second too fast in one particular race. So you're honestly telling me running 9.5 f in 1:56 doesn't make a horse tired but running it in 1:55 does?? I don't buy that and never will.