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Originally Posted by the_fat_man
It seems that quite a few people had their money down on this horse today, so I don't want to step on any toes here, as, I can identify with tough beats. And, I was reacting to getting hammered at the gate and losing all chance.
Diamondrella and West of Gibraltar are sucking along inside, going with the flow. They both have to steady/check behind/between, with Diamondrella getting the worst of it visually but WoG in terms of ground loss. However, taking back when they did was a good thing, as they didn't continue on directly with the pace. Look at the chart: anything running forwardly (gaining) between the first 2 splits went BACKWARDS at the end. So, if Diamondrella doesn't steady, she essentially makes the same run as Sophie's Salad (the same goes for WoG). If this were to happen, the race collapses and something from the rear wins. If they had 'trouble', it was fortuitous. Especially for WoG, as she took back more than Diamondrella and had enough to get her late.
My last word on the subject.
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I would have agreed with all this from the start. Diamondrella checked briefly so as to not get engaged early, and she along with the winner had very good trips.
It was a lousy beat because she was 23-1 and lost by a head. If she was 3:1 it would have been one of those " how did she lose? " beats.