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Originally Posted by GenuineRisk
I'm the first to say I don't know much about the breeding business, but it seems like a lot of it depends on irrational exuberance for the hot new thing- if they run Big Brown at 4, and he doesn't do well, they won't be able to charge as high a stud fee as if they retire him this year, while he's still the most recent KDerby winner. Add to that, most stallions fail at stud, so it's important they make as much money as they can as soon as they can, so if he's a stud dud they'll still have made their $$.
Like someone said, it's a breeding business, with a few races tossed in on the side.
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He'll probably end up in Japan if he fails here, his sire Boundary if I am correct has only had lukewarm success as a stud making him a risky proposition if you ask me. If he wins the triple then I couldn't really blame his owners for wanting to cash in, it's easy to sit here and blast owners for not wanting to race their horses but we don't have million dollar investments that at any freak moment something can go wrong with them, if I were a breeder I would tend to be on the cautious side with this one. The thought of the late St. Liam throwing out a few would have scared me also.