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Originally Posted by cmorioles
Which part, riding for third or major contender? My guess...both.
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There isn't adequate video for the race, so I'm only going by my chart here.
Only two horses in the race gained significantly over two calls (let alone at any point) in the race: Colonel John and Denis of Cork.
Smooth Air and Visionaire gained the 3rd qtr but couldn't sustain it the 4th.
And Colonel John backed up badly the last two calls while DoC gained in the stretch call and ran almost evenly from there to the wire.
Now, I never thought much of DoC before the race and also didn't think much of CJ before his LAST race (where he ran significantly better).
So, it might appear, given the results, that DoC ran a huge race and those who thought his last race was AWFUL are nuts.
But I wonder what happens if DoC is a bit closer to the pace early, and not loping along out of harms way, INSIDE, and at the rear of the field. My guess would be that he'd have folded like an accordion the 4th split; and probably much worse than CJ did.
Of course, another interpretation would be that he ran HUGE and the jock blew the race.