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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
First of all - in RTG's case - you have one big race (which happened to be a win over an inside-speed biased track while setting a slow pace) That giant jump-up had more to do with pace and trip and even if you want to pretend that number was a legit indication of how well he ran - it hasn't been repeated over and over.
It was also his first dirt race at age 3. There was a 5 month gap between that race in his prior dirt start.
In his prior dirt race, he was 2nd beaten 2 lengths to Cool Coal Man with a career top 86 Beyer.
You are right, RTG jumped 16 points to a new top in the Ill Derby. However, it was only his 3rd lifetime dirt start, and his first in 5 months, and he had an uncontested lead over an inside speed track while setting a slow pace.
That was a horrible analogy. Alina would have been much better...even though she was trainer change and layoff like Cantrel.
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I fished and you bit. OF COURSE RTG's explosion was due to pace and trip, we know that because it was so plainly obvious. Note the pace in Eight Belles' 12/23 race... they went 1:14 to 6F. 4 weeks later, they went 1:12 4/5 (so on raw time, 7.5 lengths faster) and she was uncontested in the stretch.
Basically you're implying that based on the chain of events, Larry Jones is cheating, with some type of snake venom concoction or something, especially with the comparison to Lake. I didn't want to come out and say that but that's the impression that I get. Please tell me I'm reading your statements incorrectly.