I'll tell ya something ,Joey.What chance do you think that Black Jack horse has to get 10f? All it would take is that horse getting a lil rank,and wanting to run off.If he sets a fast pace(with Brown laying a close 2nd-3rd-4th,) then it's gunna suck the middle and back of that field past that front.I don't care if he's best.When you got this many horses it ain't all up to you.You still gotta get lucky.This is not like the other 3 races he has had.He has been able to clear 3 times without much fight from anybody.This race is the 1st time all the best 3 year olds have met,and it will have horses who can run front, middle, and back. Can he clear on the far turn? He might,but he may have to go quite a bit quicker this time in the middle.It's different.On paper,he is best.This race has a stand out favorite.He will be targeted. We haven't had such a big favorite in the derby recently.They gunna be trying to get this horse in trouble.He can win it,but they will make it as hard on him as possible.
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