Quote:
Originally Posted by miraja2
Exactly.
DrugS posted this awhile ago, but I guess it needs to be reposted for some people here.
"The Ill Derby has a history of front end winners producing crazy fast figures.
* Last year, Cowtown Cat went wire-to-wire and was given just a 98 Beyer figure after running a time that suggested he ran significantly faster. BRIS didn't adjust there figure...and had him running faster than Holy Bull ever had on there numbers - he went on to finish 20th in the Derby while having the highest last out BRIS fig in the entire field.
* Two years ago, Sweetnorthersaint sat second less than a length off of pace setter Mr. Triester (who stayed on to finish 2nd) - he put him away, won by 9, got huge figures from all figure makers and was bet to Derby favortisim.
* Three years ago, Greeley's Galazy stalked the pace from up close and won with a 106 Beyer that might have been reduced a little if I recall. He never ran back to it.
* Four years ago, Pollards Vision went wire-to-wire and ran a 107 Beyer. He returned to run 17th beaten 40 lengths in the Derby."
|
All of this is meaningless in a different year. This year the 3yr olds are a bunch of slow horses.
The fact those Illinois Derby winners couldn't get an early lead. There was speed in those races. This year there might not be anyone to go with the horse.
I know one Illinois Derby winner that everyone looked past and he ran 1-2-3 along with Proud Citizen and Perfect Drift all way around the track.