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Originally Posted by SentToStud
Big Brown's a toss for me, especially from an inside or middle post, especially if War Pass draws outside him. You will not ever see a horse get a softer trip from the 12 post than BB did in the Florida Derby. While he broke with the leaders, he is not a gate buster but rather a "take a stride then send" type. From a relative inside post, he'll have to work for his trip, something he hasn't done.
I also think a likely to be tightened up Churchill track works against him and his foot issues. And to a lesser but still important extent, I'm not nuts about his modest number of lifetime starts.
At what is going to be 2/1 - 5/2, he's a toss for me.
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totally agree. he is the easiest toss for me.... i think hes easily 2-1, not higher, way way overbet