Without mentioning all of the obvious ones that everyone would put in their bottom 10, looking at only those that might be in the 12-1 or under range, I'd go with Pyro. I've never liked him and he's not done anything to make me like him this year. I feel that he's regressed from his 2yo form and his last race was not the way one would want to be going into the Derby. He's had three races but I don't think he's raced three times. I feel like he's going to come up short on Derby Day. I do give him credit as a good horse, better than I believed he was and I now believe that come the second half of the year, he's going to be a force to be reckoned with. But I don't like him here and especially not at price relative to chances.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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