Quote:
|
Originally Posted by hi_im_god
empire maker was the biggest recent favorite i can recall and he was 5-2.
anyone who thinks there is someone in this field with more steam than him going into the 2003 derby is wrong.
bb is talented and will do big things. but 2 horses out of 56 have won off 2 starts at 3 and both of them had more foundation at 2.
my guess is despite street sense last year, people figure this out.
7-2. maybe even 4-1
|
I don't think Big Brown will be higher than 5-2. THere are several reasons; first, Pyro's poor Blue Grass may scare a few of his backers away. Granted, I'm completely dismissing it, but it certainly won't depress his odds. Secondly, we have no idea if Colonel John will handle real dirt. Just because he beat Gayego on the carpet, doesn't mean Colonel John would've won that race yesterday at Oaklawn. Other 3YOs who were highly regarded earlier, like Dennis of Cork and Cool Coal Man, fizzled in their last prep. While Cool Coal Man had an excuse, he did have a perfect trip in the FOY, and Dennis of Cork had a perfect trip when he won the Southwest. So its part of function of Big Brown's domination at GP and the unwillingness of his competition to step up.