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Old 04-13-2008, 05:57 PM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: niskayuna
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JJP
I suspect the 7-1 or 8-1 will NOT be the case. Other than Big Brown, I don't know who will be bet more than him. Colonel John? No way; he's unproven on real dirt. If the reasoning is that he beat Gayego, I say that reasoning is flawed because maybe Gayego is a better horse on real dirt than synthetic. War Pass? I think the public knows that he can't outsprint Big Brown and his breeding suggests he's a miler. Recapturedtheglory? No way; the horses running 1-2-3-4 coming into the stretch finished that way. Gayego? I could maybe see it since he's won in the past without the lead. But if he tries to clear, he will be in trouble. The public likes to bet closers in the Derby and based on the past history of pace meltdowns, I see Pyro at 9-2ish; no higher than 5-1.
your kinda funny, i really have laughed out loud a few times.

why cant war pass out sprint big brown ? the public knows ???? he is def. faster then big brown, he can get to the top if he wants it, war pass will be leading the derby at first call, there might be like 4-5 other's with him, but he will be up front.
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