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Originally Posted by Hawthornechris
I'm not the experienced horse player all of you are, but it seems to be that this crop of three-year olds are a bit unpredictable no? With no one dominating horse emerging, this derby looks more wide open than most previous iterations so I would think it might behoove a bettor to be a bit more open minded about those previous sacrosanct derby qualifiers...could Monba lose the derby? absolutely...and he could lose big too...but I think I could say that about a lot of these horses....this just makes it more fun to me.
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You are right that anything can happen in this Derby. The problem though is Monba is now assured of being overbet relative to his miniscule chances so is a bad play.