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Old 04-04-2008, 04:32 PM
ELA ELA is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: NY/NJ
Posts: 1,293
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
So you're comparing times from races two years apart? That's always a good idea. . .
Good point. That's an exercise in futility. However, I can certainly understand comparing the two -- respectively -- to every other race on the card, the weather, bias, etc. and so on, right down the line. Whether or not that gives you some "substance" of comparison I guess would be in the eye of the beholder.

I was extremely high on Curlin from day one and thought he would be a factor in the Derby. I was worried about "too much too soon" and whether or not he had the seasoning, experience, and what was needed for a Triple Crown campaign; but with each successive start that had to be less and less of a concern. I liked him in the Derby, very much. I loved him in the Preakness. The Belmont to me is somewhat enigmatic so let's forget that for the time being.

For whatever reasons, I have been extremely high on Big Brown from the moment I saw him break his maiden at the Spa. Now, I don't know, maybe this is different. Sure, he raced once as a two year old. But if his "problems" are exclusively his feet, great, but if not . . . Like I said, I don't know. People had similar discussions about Empire Maker, but he wasn't sound from almost day one, and we all know how that story goes.

To me, Big Brown is just more puzzling than Curlin and that just makes me less strong and confident. He could be the next ___fill in the blank___. I'd love to see it. On the other hand . . . Anyway, the verdict is still out.

Eric
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