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Originally Posted by the_fat_man
but why would it hurt a closer? Though, the speed bias is probably enough to mitigate some of this.
No matter what the data tells me, this makes no sense. A horse can break from the 12, settle behind and inside early, make one run on the turn and, assuming there's pace and some moves in the race, get a perfect trip.
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with only 11 seconds you dont really have time to drop to the rear either. (unless you were an extreme deep closer who always started extremely slow)
the only way to do win it is bull up out of the gate, take a brush and be happy with 5 wide, and then beat the others.