The break is the only variable with him winning or losing today. To me it cannot be downplayed. If he opens up a clear advantage the race is over. Hes ran at Sar, Mth, Gsp, and Bel, hes ran on fast, hes ran on sloppy. Hes never shown any dislike for anything until today. He dislikes being behind, between, outside of others. Lucky for him he wont be if hes allowed a clean break
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