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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Any idiot can see a horse run a fast race and declare " this is a good horse. " That kind of insight is useless.
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That is true. But, not very many can do it when the horses don't run fast times or have that great of Beyers first time out...at least, not that I have ever seen.
This was the case with some of the horses that I named. I threw them out there, and you won't find one horse that I picked out off their maiden win and posted on this board where that horse didn't turn out to be really good.
Where was everyone else saying that Rags to Riches was a great filly off of her maiden win? I had just one reply to that thread. Just one. No one else was even talking about her at the time.
And sometimes good Beyers and fast times don't mean anything first time out. Beyers are often wrong, and tracks often play faster sometimes than others.