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Originally Posted by Linny
Barbaro was a 2 turn sw at 2, albeit on grass. He won a route stake (Tropical Park Derby) on Jan 1 or 2 before moving to dirt. He had far more foundation than this colt of Todd's. I agree with BTW, if they want a race, ask for one. I suppose that last Sunday's race with WP was unacceptable as he'd have had 0 chance to win and that hurts Todd's percentage. FG, OP, AQU and SA have allowance programs. He can ship, I presume? Agreed, it's strange. I think Todd is "pressing" a bit with this one.
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You are not telling me anything I don't know. I know all about Street Sense and Barbaro's race history.
As far as shipping, can you tell me how many 2-turn n1x's FG has in the next couple weeks? Save your time, there's none.
I also know when Gulfstream moved the Florida Derby into Late March/Early April, people said it made the race irrelevant and whined about how Stronach was ruining the TC prep season. It took exactly two runnings until Barbaro won in Lousville off the FL Derby. So, all of a sudden not only is the FL Derby relevant, it also showed you can win with a prep 5 weeks out.
That defied "conventional wisdom," did it not??
Then Street Sense won off two preps. Leading up, a lot of people derided his people because it had been 50 (?) years since a horse had won off such a soft 3 yo prep season.
So, it is not solely about the Curlin as an exception, is it? The three arguably best 3 yos of the past two seasons all achieved unconventionally. And did so differently.
This is what encourages people to try to do the same.
My question for you is do you really, truly and sincerely think Pletcher is running in this race to keep his percentages up??
You can't really be serious about him running here to duck War Pass, can you?
That War Pass race was scheduled 16 days (and run 17 days) after this horse's debut. Do you know Pletcher's horse had his last work THE DAY AFTER THE WAR PASS RACE WAS SCHEDULED TO RUN?
I don't at all disagree that Understatement is on a likely over-ambitious schedule.
But there is more to trying to defy conventional wisdom than just Curlin. There is also Street Sense and Barbaro.
And Pletcher ducking War Pass? Maybe he would have if it was ever possible they'd have run on the 2/23-34.
Anyhow, good luck today...