Scuds.
They badly want to be a respected member of the EU.
This is for economic reasons. If they are thrown out of
any European trading block, the citizens will suffer economically.
This is not a poor country. Many Turks live a life style that is
very western and THEY LIKE IT. Having running water, electricity,
and the ability to buy Western goods. The majority of the population
is stuck in this mode. Take that away... Dont think its gonna happen.
And that will be taken away if they pull an Iran.

This is a very strange country in a lot of ways. A huge mixture of West
and East. A lot like Iran (huge middle class with Western attitudes) actually, except they have much more money (yes, despite all that oil, Iran is hurt a great deal by sanctions; prediction, Imadinnersuit will go down this coming year) and access to a lot more pleasures of the West.