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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
To me, the fact that Fabulous Strike hasn't beat "Grade 1 type horses" means nothing at all.
Fact is, if he had the same dream trip as he did in those monsterous figure wins at Chuchill Downs and Mountaineer Park - he'd have decimated any top horse.
An off-the-pace type like Midnight Lute - who was SENSATIONAL winning the Forego wouldn't have had a prayer against him going six furlongs with an uncontested lead through soft fractions.
To me, the big knock on Fabulous Strike is about trips.
* He has yet to show the ability to battle through true fast fractions, take pace pressure, and run his big race.
* And I'm skeptical about how well he'd run if he's rated off of a fast pace and tries a change of tactics.
If you took all the great closing sprinters in the last fifteen years - and ran them against Fabulous Strike going six furlongs - FS would win, and probably stylishly, because he'd get no early pressure at all, and he's repeatedly shown the ability to run supersonic late fractions (often while under a full nelson) when he has things all his way through the early stages.
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But if Weigelia was in the race, Fab Strike would probably be stopping on the turn.
Fast he is. No doubt. But unless he's the lone speed, it's been worthless against good horses.
Well, he's in tomorrrow. Without going out too much on the line or divulging things you do not think you can on a message board, just how do you actually see him running tomorrow??