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Originally Posted by miraja2
As for brian's pick, I don't particularly like Sebastian County's chances here, but I suppose it is always a bit dangerous to throw out horses that have proven they can win on poly in favor of horses that have not. The colt is 2 for 2 at Arlington.....but I think he is in a bit over his head in this one.
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Don't get me wrong -- he's certainly biting off a big piece here considering how slowly he ran in his last two.
I'm just going solely on the 2 for 2 AP poly angle, the fact that he still DID manage to win both races (with some trouble in the last), and that I simply think he's going to turn out to be a much faster horse than we've seen so far. Whether tomorrow is the day he becomes that faster horse -- well that's why it's gambling
But at 10-1, I definitely like his chances in comparison to how the race looks like it's going to be bet.