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Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
I am just a huge believer in running styles, that the most talented horses have two dimensional styles and that the other depend on pace senarios to win, such as a front runner getting a clear lead or a closer getting a fall apart senarion with no other talented horses like him in the race.....I think the horse in question here has clearly demonstrated that she wants to be part of the pace, in fact I dont see a race where she has passed a horse in the stretch?
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Then you obviously didn't see her last race, because Humble Janet passed her and she then passed Humble Janet back in the stretch after she changed her lead and almost got to Le Chateau. Humble Janet went on to finish 2nd in a GIII and Le Chateau 4th in the same race. And two back, after Girls Pearls passed her and looked to be flying home and opening up, Sumwon made up ground in the stretch and closed the gap coming back at that winner. Girls Pearls went on to win a stakes race. Neither is reflected in the PP's.
I am surprised that the Pletcher is favored over her as Sumwon appears to me to be the choice here, although not a surprise that people will jump on a Pletcher. I do have to say she may need a race in her and the surface is a a bit of a question mark for her, but I would love to see her go off third or fourth choice. Just think the bettors are smarter than that.