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Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
I would say fair odds are around 6/1, not sure what she will be.
Look, she is not winning hooked 3 or 4 wide on a fast pace, thats the fast track to an up the track finish. Can she take back and save some ground as which may be needed in this field, I dont think so, but if she wins I think she will need to do so.
Two posts and you have taken this one event and tried to use a large quantity to make your point.
Each race has a dynamic, I am talking about this race only. If a horse with a E/P or P running style was stuck outside I would say it would be tough but not impossible, the horse in question has never shown a style like that.
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I think you're nuts for putting the fair value at 6/1.
Who said anything about getting hooked 3-4 wide on a hot pace? I said she can travel with the second flight, then make a 3-4 wide move on the turn and win. Good horses do it all the time. And this isn't a turf race where you can hug the rail on the turn and then swing out for the stretch drive. She's going to have to make her move somewhere on the turn, so I don't know where you want her to "take back and save some ground."