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Originally Posted by pick4
Can you find a race in his pp's where he did not have to confront a fast pace yet and was not fast enough to get the lead? I can find the Derby and BC Classic. This is a flat mile and I can't see him working out an easy trip here.
He'll have to run fast early, middle, and late. I think Lawyer Ron will crack under pressure.
I have it down to Sun King, and maybe Silent Name or Silver Wagon closing past the hot pace.
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Lawyer Ron is not suited for pace and distance to win at 10 furlongs -- see last year's Kentucky Derby and BC Classic. He is Grade 2 winner, Arkansas Derby & Oaklawn Handicap, looking to take next step in Grade 1 event. Pletcher has well-planned 2007 campaign for Lawyer Ron. First, he wins February tuneup at GP; then, dominates Oaklawn's premier race for older horses at 9 panels.
Today's cutback to one-turn mile is superior fit for his breeding and training. He will stalk early speed, start moving forward around 3/8th pole, and will get and maintain lead for 2-plus length victory. Prado handled him masterfully in OP win. He will use LR's high cruising speed and repeat today!