Sumwon has a good shot ladies and gents. Just checking out the DRF, her last Beyer is higher than any other fillies last fig.
#1) Le Chateau could be tough, but she hasnt run since March 10th in the FG Oaks where she finished 5th by 11. Le Chateau has been working pretty well so I imagine she'll be the favorite. (Ralph Nicks and Robby Albarado)
#2) Humble Janet won a 30,000 Claimer last out going 1:39and4 for a mile at Oaklawn. She's 2-1-1 in 5 starts, but seems to be a cut below this group IMO. She goes for the A$$mussen and has Bridgmohan on.
#3) Kissit finished 2nd in a NW1 two back at Hawthorne running a 67 beyer. Looks like thats the best she'll do. I dont see her being much of a factor in this race. (Dee Poulos and Mark Guidry)
#4) Sumwonlovesyou, runs in the lime and blue colors of Dee Tee Stable for Charles Simon and is the bomb-diggity.
#5) Le Peaks broke her maiden last out on the slop in her 12th try for trainer John Moore and Calvin Borel. She paid $52.00 to win. I see her only being a factor if it comes up sloppy again.
#6) Philips Pride is an interesting filly, ran 9th, 10 lengths back in her last start on the Turf 1 mile and 1/16th at Keeneland in a $52,375 NW1 allowance with a good tough field (like the one Sumwon faced at Keeneland). A $200,000 yearling purchase (Fasig-tipton august), Philips Pride has been working pretty solid (48.1, 48.1, 48.2 in last 3 works) and seems to be a player in this race. Shes a speed filly and I wouldnt be surprised to see her setting the early fractions. Dale Romans trains and Kent D has the mount.
#7) Tactical Warning has not been in the money since she broke her maiden in November of 05. This is her second race off of a layoff, her works are consistantly average and I dont feel threatened by her. Mena rides for Jeff Taley.
So, with my gambling expertise (
), I will play a 3 horse tri, Sumwon over Le Chateau and Philips Pride. I'll do:
$2 tri 4/1,6/1,6 and $2tri 1,6/4/1,6
I'll probably play an exacta with that group also.
GOOOOOO SUMWON!!! (woop woop)
Edit: A smart horseplayer just pointed out to me that Steve Assman claimed the #2 Humble Janet 2 starts back (next out she won by almost 4 lengths). Steve Assman also owns her. I guess that must make her a player. I'll add her in my tri play so it would be 4/1,2,6/1,2,6 and 1,2,6/4/1,2,6.