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Originally Posted by easy goer
I mentioned the early pace was fast in my original post; should have referenced that to the 1/2 mile time. But it was not brutal, such as 45+ would be. And that is why I asked him if he looked at pace differently that I.
Is the 1/2 mile time more important than the 3/4? Or vice versa? Or they both are? How do you look at this? That is why I asked it the way I did. Still not getting much of a response on this.
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Both are obviously important, but it always seems like the no-hope frontrunners burn up after 4F (the most recent examples being Songandaprayer, Brancusi, and Keyed Entry.) It's more important to see what the other horses around him did than the ACTUAL time, b/c the track obviously differs from year to year. He was the only frontrunner still breathing at the end, and the other 3 in the top 4 came from wayyyyyyyy back.
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Originally Posted by cmorioles
That was not a moderate pace by any means. Comparing fractions from year to year is futile, as the track can be vastly different. Sure, the Derby is usually run at a faster clip, but the horses in front usually finish way, way, way behind.
What was War Emblem's pace? That should give you an idea of the type pace needed to win up front.
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:47 and change or something if I recall?