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Originally Posted by The Bid
He would have a very good chance in the Derby. The horse that will go favorite beat him by a head. Hes got a big edge on experience, and hes coming into the race right. Why would he not have a chance? Last time I checked NONE of the horses going to the gate have ran a mile and a quarter. Its funny to hear everyone armchair QB, then bitch on other posts about horses being retired early, and raced sparingly. I know one thing, Im glad you guys arent training him.
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Saying you don't like his chances in the derby is not the same as bitching about horses being retired early. they are separate arguments. I don't see anyone complaining about racing frequency.
Saying that he has as good a chance as any because he was only a head back of the favorite is the worst rationale I've ever heard. It totally ignores some some very obvious circumstances that brought about that head loss and that would make it unlikely that he would have been in the same zip code as the winner in the derby.