At first, I couldn't stop laughing. Then I thought about it more. Let's see:
Kentucky Derby=no chance in hell.
Woodford=no chance in hell.
What's the difference? He's not going to win either race. I actually think that because of the conditions of the Derby, he'd look worse there than in the Woodford. He'd be running 10f, which he can't get unless he's got a van. He'd be facing more horses and probably more pace pressure, which won't be beneficial to him. He'd be doing it at equal weights, which gives him no advantage. In the Woodford, he'd be more likely to get a pace scenario that he likes than in the Derby. He'd also be in there with a very low weight. He might have only 110 lbs or so in that race. The distance of the race is better for him than the Derby too. If he can just about beat the 2yo champ and current Derby second choice (Street Sense) in a race that was run like a turf race, he might be able to run with horses like Einstein and Better Talk Now in the Woodford if he's able to control the race like he did the Blue Grass. Do I expect that he'd have a shot to win the Woodford? No I don't. But I think that if the choice were between the Derby and the Woodford, he'd have less chance of embarrassment in the Woodford.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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