View Single Post
  #351  
Old 04-19-2007, 01:56 AM
docicu3 docicu3 is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,778
Default Andy are you saying that betting a long shot ATB is a terrible idea

I have wandered in here on page 18 so I probably have missed far more than I will be able to use successfully but if I take this one step further......

Andy if you have an angle on a LS say at better than 10-1 and you really like a horse to win which you play with your typical "X" or unit play. Does not the concept of "saver bet" at times on long odds with horses you have already played to win make sense. Although I want the 33-1 payoff 27/$2 and 14/$2 are not returns that will likely make you a loser for the day.
I thought the most important thing at the end of the day,other than making some kind of profit was to be able to look back at all of your wagers and objectively evaluate risk and return favorably. You can certainly on occasion win by playing stupidly, albeit not very often, but making sound wagers should eventually give you a decent chance long term to be a winner over all.

An example is a 33-1 shot that paid 68-27-14 allow you to still make quite a profit if the horse finished 2nd or 3rd.

I certainly agree that playing short odds will likely make betters go broke but there has to be a time when investing in returns that can be worth the risk at certain potential ROI is a sound play.

DrD
Reply With Quote